Do I ship it?

GamesDestructionDestruction + Economy

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Economy Destruction game?

Destruction + Economy

Of 24 developers who shipped an Economy Destruction game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 94 more are announced, ×5.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.0k, ×3.1 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $600; 1 in 20 cleared $610k, ×977 the market median. Revenue is up 120% on the market; 94 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.1 times the market baseline, revenue up 120% on the market, 94 announced, ×5.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Destruction + Economy
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 24
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $59k → $173k → $2.7k → $9.0k → $2.0k → $2.4k (still earning) → $629 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Destruction + Economy: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 24
Bottom 30% $599 (exactly $599)
Median $2.0k (exactly $1,977)
Top 25% $20k (exactly $19,780)
Top 5% $614k (exactly $613,792)
Developers, 2 yr 24
Released games 67
Announced 94
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 120% on the market, supply 100% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Destruction
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Economy
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Destruction, Economy; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Management, Simulation, Building
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
7 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Realistic, First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 74% positive over 6,542 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $600, median $2.0k, 1 in 4 over $19k, 1 in 20 over $610k.

3 in 10 developers made under $600. 8 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 94 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Destruction with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Space SimFair14 devs · median $3.7k · 22 announced
  2. + ModernFair26 devs · median $1.6k · 28 announced
  3. + God GameFair19 devs · median $899 · 20 announced
  4. + Hidden ObjectFair9 devs · median $719 · 14 announced
  5. + Hack and SlashPoor odds19 devs · median $43k · 57 announced
  6. + HistoricalPoor odds15 devs · median $26k · 22 announced
  7. + CapitalismPoor odds17 devs · median $15k · 46 announced
  8. + Online Co-OpPoor odds37 devs · median $13k · 102 announced
  9. + Co-opPoor odds50 devs · median $11k · 113 announced
  10. + Automobile SimPoor odds22 devs · median $9.0k · 44 announced
  11. + ManagementPoor odds36 devs · median $6.1k · 129 announced
  12. + AutomationPoor odds22 devs · median $6.0k · 46 announced

All 139 pairs on the Destruction page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Tropico 6 older $39.99 19,837 88% 595k $24M (exactly $23,798,449) Limbic Entertainment, Realmforge Studios
Gas Station Simulator older $19.99 23,839 88% 715k $14M (exactly $14,296,248) DRAGO entertainment
Dawn of Man older $24.99 17,094 86% 513k $13M (exactly $12,815,372) Madruga Works
MechWarrior 5: Mercenaries older $29.99 13,347 84% 400k $12M (exactly $12,008,296) Piranha Games Inc.
Hotel Renovator older $24.99 2,223 77% 67k $1.7M (exactly $1,666,583) Two Horizons
House Builder older $19.99 2,194 79% 66k $1.3M (exactly $1,315,742) FreeMind S.A.
Train Station Renovation older $18.99 1,979 84% 59k $1.1M (exactly $1,127,436) Live Motion Games
Builder Simulator older $19.99 1,637 72% 49k $982k (exactly $981,709) Live Motion Games, Frozen Way
Motorcycle Mechanic Simulator 2021 older $19.99 1,580 68% 47k $948k (exactly $947,526) Play2Chill S.A.
Deconstruction Simulator $19.99 1,374 74% 41k $824k (exactly $823,988) Games Incubator, Hypnotic Ants
Keep Digging $6.99 2,927 79% 88k $614k (exactly $613,792) Wild Dog
BLACKWOOD $24.99 565 46% 17k $424k (exactly $423,580) AttritoM7 Productions
Fracture Field $6.99 1,196 75% 36k $251k (exactly $250,801) Type Ten
Junkyard Builder $14.99 223 70% 6.7k $100k (exactly $100,283) FreeMind S.A.
The Dream Office $9.99 66 86% 2.0k $20k (exactly $19,780) BEPLAYER, Nesalis Games
Holiday Motel Simulator · EA $12.99 49 63% 1.5k $19k (exactly $19,095) Red Phoenix Interactive
Cosmic Miners · EA $9.99 60 53% 1.8k $18k (exactly $17,982) bitByte Games
Lichgate: Tower Survivor $6.99 57 75% 1.7k $12k (exactly $11,953) Sun Lion Games
Robin Hood: Sherwood Defenders $11.99 25 44% 750 $9.0k (exactly $8,992) MeanAstronauts

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.