Do I ship it?

GamesDestructionDestruction + Dystopian

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Dystopian Destruction game?

Destruction + Dystopian

Of 23 developers who shipped a Dystopian Destruction game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 64 more are announced, ×4.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.7k, ×4.3 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $360; 1 in 20 cleared $420k, ×683 the market median. Revenue is up 1360% on the market; 64 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 1360% on the market, 64 announced, ×4.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Destruction + Dystopian
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 23
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $202k → $535k → $13k → $2.1k → $1.1k → $49k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Destruction + Dystopian: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 23
Bottom 30% $358 (exactly $358)
Median $2.7k (exactly $2,695)
Top 25% $35k (exactly $35,331)
Top 5% $429k (exactly $428,828)
Developers, 2 yr 23
Released games 83
Announced 64
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $8.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 1360% on the market, supply 30% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 27%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Destruction
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Dystopian
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Destruction; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Shooter, Action-Adventure
Price point
$8.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Dark, Isometric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.

The top 10 games average 79% positive over 3,319 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $360, median $2.7k, 1 in 4 over $35k, 1 in 20 over $420k.

3 in 10 developers made under $360. 9 in 10 of the 13 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 64 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Destruction with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Space SimFair14 devs · median $3.7k · 22 announced
  2. + ModernFair26 devs · median $1.6k · 28 announced
  3. + God GameFair19 devs · median $899 · 20 announced
  4. + Hidden ObjectFair9 devs · median $719 · 14 announced
  5. + Hack and SlashPoor odds19 devs · median $43k · 57 announced
  6. + HistoricalPoor odds15 devs · median $26k · 22 announced
  7. + CapitalismPoor odds17 devs · median $15k · 46 announced
  8. + Online Co-OpPoor odds37 devs · median $13k · 102 announced
  9. + Co-opPoor odds50 devs · median $11k · 113 announced
  10. + Automobile SimPoor odds22 devs · median $9.0k · 44 announced
  11. + ManagementPoor odds36 devs · median $6.1k · 129 announced
  12. + AutomationPoor odds22 devs · median $6.0k · 46 announced

All 139 pairs on the Destruction page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Hardspace: Shipbreaker older $34.99 19,431 89% 583k $20M (exactly $20,396,721) Blackbird Interactive
DYSMANTLE older $19.99 11,022 91% 331k $6.6M (exactly $6,609,893) 10tons Ltd
Terminator: Dark Fate - Defiance older $39.99 3,395 82% 102k $4.1M (exactly $4,072,982) Slitherine Ltd.
Brigador: Up-Armored Edition older $24.99 4,580 93% 137k $3.4M (exactly $3,433,626) Stellar Jockeys, Gausswerks
Forefront $27.99 1,913 84% 57k $1.6M (exactly $1,606,346) Triangle Factory
Landlord's Super older $19.99 1,442 80% 43k $865k (exactly $864,767) Minskworks
Angel at Dusk older $14.99 1,676 98% 50k $754k (exactly $753,697) Akiragoya
Shadows of Forbidden Gods older $19.99 1,046 91% 31k $627k (exactly $627,286) Bobby Two Hands
Capes older $39.99 446 67% 13k $535k (exactly $535,066) Spitfire Interactive
Brigador Killers · EA $24.99 572 69% 17k $429k (exactly $428,828) Stellar Jockeys, Gausswerks
Extinction Day $19.99 206 74% 6.2k $124k (exactly $123,538) DryGin Studios
Glitchpunk $19.99 174 47% 5.2k $104k (exactly $104,348) Dark Lord
Masks of the Void: Origins $14.99 108 97% 3.2k $49k (exactly $48,568) ROLLDBOX GAMES
Deep Space Exploitation $8.99 131 96% 3.9k $35k (exactly $35,331) JuhrJuhr
Desolation Seed · EA $14.99 69 63% 2.1k $31k (exactly $31,029) ECS Software
Cosmic Miners · EA $9.99 60 53% 1.8k $18k (exactly $17,982) bitByte Games
Disaster Arms - Impact Project B.A.H.N. $9.99 57 100% 1.7k $17k (exactly $17,083) PD_CGT
Star Mining Co. $8.99 29 82% 870 $7.8k (exactly $7,821) Barney Whiteman

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.