Do I ship it?

GamesEconomyEconomy + Deckbuilding

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Deckbuilding Economy game?

Economy + Deckbuilding

Of 52 developers who shipped a Deckbuilding Economy game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 92 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.0k, ×1.7 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $360; 1 in 20 cleared $280k, ×451 the market median. Revenue is down 35% on the market; 92 games are announced against 37 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.7 times the market baseline, revenue down 35% on the market, 92 announced, ×2.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Economy + Deckbuilding
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 52
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $26k → $2.8k → $50k → $2.0k → $1.0k (still earning) → $449 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Economy + Deckbuilding: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 52
Bottom 30% $359 (exactly $359)
Median $1.0k (exactly $1,048)
Top 25% $17k (exactly $16,986)
Top 5% $283k (exactly $283,387)
Developers, 2 yr 52
Released games 67
Announced 92
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 35% on the market, supply 145% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Economy
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Deckbuilding
effort 3 / 10 · high · card pools and run logic

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Economy, Deckbuilding; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Management, Simulation, Strategy
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 74% positive over 18,979 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $360, median $1.0k, 1 in 4 over $16k, 1 in 20 over $280k.

3 in 10 developers made under $360. 7 in 10 of the 18 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 92 games are announced against 37 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Economy with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorFair116 devs · median $22k · 125 announced
  2. + Football (Soccer)Fair21 devs · median $6.8k · 29 announced
  3. + ScienceFair39 devs · median $5.9k · 39 announced
  4. + MiningFair116 devs · median $5.0k · 173 announced
  5. + LootFair74 devs · median $4.6k · 114 announced
  6. + CollectathonFair125 devs · median $3.8k · 151 announced
  7. + God GameFair47 devs · median $2.8k · 58 announced
  8. + Auto BattlerFair59 devs · median $2.4k · 79 announced
  9. + IdlerFair441 devs · median $2.3k · 589 announced
  10. + IncrementalFair408 devs · median $2.2k · 612 announced
  11. + ArcadeFair199 devs · median $2.1k · 285 announced
  12. + Strategy RPGFair95 devs · median $2.0k · 128 announced

All 161 pairs on the Economy page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Bazaar $19.99 14,931 70% 448k $9.0M (exactly $8,954,121) Tempo
Dune: Imperium older $22.99 3,806 94% 114k $2.6M (exactly $2,624,998) Dire Wolf
Card Shop Simulator Multiplayer $11.99 1,609 82% 48k $579k (exactly $578,757) ShaneGame
NUTMEG! A Nostalgic Deckbuilding Football Manager $24.99 378 89% 11k $283k (exactly $283,387) Sumo Digital, Sumo Digital Academy
ROGUE LIGHT DECK BUILDER $3.99 888 94% 27k $106k (exactly $106,294) Gil Lawson
Entertainment Simulator $18.99 181 73% 5.4k $103k (exactly $103,116) Grizzbera Studio
Concordia: Digital Edition older $19.99 167 83% 5.0k $100k (exactly $100,150) Acram Digital
Urban Cards older $14.99 156 75% 4.7k $70k (exactly $70,153) Hues Games
Calculate It · EA older $6.99 264 87% 7.9k $55k (exactly $55,361) SVGames
SuperTaxCity $9.99 166 89% 5.0k $50k (exactly $49,750) soramame-koubou
DEFRAG $2.99 534 93% 16k $48k (exactly $47,900) BlueDot Studio
Yuma Nest · EA $19.99 57 89% 1.7k $34k (exactly $34,183) Piokou
Magic Inn · EA $14.99 68 82% 2.0k $31k (exactly $30,580) Purpledoor Studios
FeeBay Simulator $5.99 167 91% 5.0k $30k (exactly $30,010) Lake Country Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.