Do I ship it?

GamesHero ShooterHero Shooter + Dark Fantasy

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Dark-Fantasy Hero Shooter?

Hero Shooter + Dark Fantasy

Only 7 developers shipped a Dark-Fantasy Hero Shooter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Luna Hollow - Dream Eater Defense, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 17 more are announced, ×4.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 9 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $150 against a market of $1.3k. 17 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.1 times the market baseline, revenue down 75% on the market, 17 announced, ×4.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Hero Shooter + Dark Fantasy
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 7
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $599 → $657 → $60 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Hero Shooter + Dark Fantasy: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 7
Bottom 30% $60 (exactly $60)
Median $150 (exactly $150)
Top 25% $3.6k (exactly $3,596)
Top 5% $5.8k (exactly $5,750)
Developers, 2 yr 7
Released games 37
Announced 17
Effort 9 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 75% on the market, supply 35% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Hero Shooter
effort 9 / 10 · low · competitive netcode plus hero balance and content cadence
Dark Fantasy
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
9 / 10 · studio only
Systems
Hero Shooter
Price point
$5.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 80% positive over 773 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $60, median $150, 1 in 4 over $3.5k, 1 in 20 over $5.7k.

3 in 10 developers made under $60. 17 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Hero Shooter with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SimulationLong shot31 devs · median $478 · 28 announced
  2. + Bullet HellLong shot59 devs · median $449 · 56 announced
  3. + Boomer ShooterLong shot30 devs · median $210 · 21 announced
  4. + MedievalLong shot10 devs · median $150 · 12 announced
  5. + Online Co-OpPoor odds20 devs · median $7.2k · 51 announced
  6. + SuperheroPoor odds6 devs · median $6.3k · 11 announced
  7. + Battle RoyalePoor odds9 devs · median $3.6k · 29 announced
  8. + Co-opPoor odds22 devs · median $3.6k · 53 announced
  9. + PvPPoor odds27 devs · median $2.3k · 127 announced
  10. + PlatformerPoor odds21 devs · median $2.2k · 33 announced
  11. + Character CustomizationPoor odds25 devs · median $2.1k · 68 announced
  12. + PhysicsPoor odds27 devs · median $1.6k · 34 announced

All 87 pairs on the Hero Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Chasm: The Rift older $19.99 462 81% 14k $277k (exactly $277,061) Action Forms, General Arcade
Horror Legends older $4.99 113 88% 3.4k $17k (exactly $16,916) October Games
Cyberdunk Anime Edition older $5.99 49 65% 1.5k $8.8k (exactly $8,805) Pannl Inc.
Inheritors2078 older $11.99 19 63% 570 $6.8k (exactly $6,834) Elhaitham Ashmawy, Mohamed Eshmawy, Nou… (Elhaitham Ashmawy, Mohamed Eshmawy, Nour Ashmawy)
Luna Hollow - Dream Eater Defense $5.99 32 53% 960 $5.8k (exactly $5,750) CHARON, STUDIO CHARON, 月桂樹冠
Middle Evil: The Priest older $5.99 29 93% 870 $5.2k (exactly $5,211) diedemor studio
Maniac Path 3 $9.99 12 100% 360 $3.6k (exactly $3,596) Gamesforgames
Rilla Shotgun · EA older $7.99 13 92% 390 $3.1k (exactly $3,116) SpaceRex Games
Valkyrie Champions older $3.99 26 69% 780 $3.1k (exactly $3,112) Valorware
No Hope older $3.99 18 77% 540 $2.2k (exactly $2,155) Helemon
Monstergasm $4.99 7 57% 210 $1.0k (exactly $1,048) Red Sasori
The Christopher Redemption - I $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Secernate Games Private Limited
I FORGOT TO TAKE THE CHICKEN OUT OF THE FREEZER $1.99 1 100% 30 $60 (exactly $60) Yomen Tohmaz
Portale zur Hölle $16.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Paranormal Interactive
TD Master $14.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Martin Vaupell Christensen

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.