Do I ship it?

GamesEconomyEconomy + Dark Fantasy

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Dark-Fantasy Economy game?

Economy + Dark Fantasy

Of 32 developers who shipped a Dark-Fantasy Economy game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 67 more are announced, ×2.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $5.7k, ×9.0 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $900; 1 in 20 cleared $740k, ×1193 the market median. Revenue is down 40% on the market; 67 games are announced against 28 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 9.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 40% on the market, 67 announced, ×2.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Economy + Dark Fantasy
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 32
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $627k → $17k → $4.9k → $7.5k (still earning) → $5.5k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Economy + Dark Fantasy: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 32
Bottom 30% $899 (exactly $899)
Median $5.7k (exactly $5,662)
Top 25% $19k (exactly $18,708)
Top 5% $749k (exactly $749,486)
Developers, 2 yr 32
Released games 57
Announced 67
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 40% on the market, supply 600% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Economy
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Dark Fantasy
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Economy; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Strategy, Building
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 73% positive over 4,085 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $900, median $5.7k, 1 in 4 over $18k, 1 in 20 over $740k.

3 in 10 developers made under $900. 6 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 67 games are announced against 28 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Economy with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorFair116 devs · median $22k · 125 announced
  2. + Football (Soccer)Fair21 devs · median $6.8k · 29 announced
  3. + ScienceFair39 devs · median $5.9k · 39 announced
  4. + MiningFair116 devs · median $5.0k · 173 announced
  5. + LootFair74 devs · median $4.6k · 114 announced
  6. + CollectathonFair125 devs · median $3.8k · 151 announced
  7. + God GameFair47 devs · median $2.8k · 58 announced
  8. + Auto BattlerFair59 devs · median $2.4k · 79 announced
  9. + IdlerFair441 devs · median $2.3k · 589 announced
  10. + IncrementalFair408 devs · median $2.2k · 612 announced
  11. + ArcadeFair199 devs · median $2.1k · 285 announced
  12. + Strategy RPGFair95 devs · median $2.0k · 128 announced

All 161 pairs on the Economy page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Dungeons 3 older $29.99 12,648 93% 379k $11M (exactly $11,379,406) Realmforge Studios
Dungeon Alchemist · EA older $44.99 2,666 94% 80k $3.6M (exactly $3,598,300) Briganti
Spellcaster University older $24.99 3,424 83% 103k $2.6M (exactly $2,566,973) Sneaky Yak Studio
Soulash 2 · EA older $18.99 2,382 85% 71k $1.4M (exactly $1,357,025) Artur Smiarowski
Master of Magic older $39.99 1,023 71% 31k $1.2M (exactly $1,227,293) MuHa Games, Eerie Forest Studio
Worshippers of Cthulhu $24.99 1,305 80% 39k $978k (exactly $978,358) Crazy Goat Games
DarkSwitch $34.99 714 77% 21k $749k (exactly $749,486) Cyber Temple
Shadows of Forbidden Gods older $19.99 1,046 91% 31k $627k (exactly $627,286) Bobby Two Hands
Crown of Greed $19.99 680 60% 20k $408k (exactly $407,796) BLUM Entertainment
Grim Realms older $14.99 408 79% 12k $183k (exactly $183,478) Edym Pixels
Loot Tycoon · EA $6.99 544 71% 16k $114k (exactly $114,077) Parallel Portal
Miseria $7.99 350 58% 11k $84k (exactly $83,895) Somnambulist Games
Idle Chapel $6.99 205 78% 6.2k $43k (exactly $42,988) Outer Choir
Minsgon Simulator $9.99 112 78% 3.4k $34k (exactly $33,566) Vokcen
Realms of Madness $15.99 39 89% 1.2k $19k (exactly $18,708) Robin van der Horst
Human Fast Food $6.99 79 89% 2.4k $17k (exactly $16,566) Bricchi Games
Lichgate: Tower Survivor $6.99 57 75% 1.7k $12k (exactly $11,953) Sun Lion Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.