Do I ship it?

GamesDestructionDestruction + Dark Fantasy

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Dark-Fantasy Destruction game?

Destruction + Dark Fantasy

Of 21 developers who shipped a Dark-Fantasy Destruction game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 62 more are announced, ×5.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $960, ×1.5 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $90; 1 in 20 cleared $290k, ×471 the market median. Revenue is down 35% on the market; 62 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.5 times the market baseline, revenue down 35% on the market, 62 announced, ×5.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Destruction + Dark Fantasy
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 21
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $899 → $3.8k → $2.4k → $90 → $1.8k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Destruction + Dark Fantasy: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 21
Bottom 30% $90 (exactly $90)
Median $958 (exactly $958)
Top 25% $12k (exactly $11,953)
Top 5% $296k (exactly $295,652)
Developers, 2 yr 21
Released games 76
Announced 62
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $8.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 35% on the market, supply 35% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Destruction
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Dark Fantasy
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Destruction; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Adventure, Hack and Slash
Price point
$8.99 typical · top 25% priced $34.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Atmospheric, Gore
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $34.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 6,730 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $90, median $960, 1 in 4 over $11k, 1 in 20 over $290k.

3 in 10 developers made under $90. 9 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 62 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Destruction with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Space SimFair14 devs · median $3.7k · 22 announced
  2. + ModernFair26 devs · median $1.6k · 28 announced
  3. + God GameFair19 devs · median $899 · 20 announced
  4. + Hidden ObjectFair9 devs · median $719 · 14 announced
  5. + Hack and SlashPoor odds19 devs · median $43k · 57 announced
  6. + HistoricalPoor odds15 devs · median $26k · 22 announced
  7. + CapitalismPoor odds17 devs · median $15k · 46 announced
  8. + Online Co-OpPoor odds37 devs · median $13k · 102 announced
  9. + Co-opPoor odds50 devs · median $11k · 113 announced
  10. + Automobile SimPoor odds22 devs · median $9.0k · 44 announced
  11. + ManagementPoor odds36 devs · median $6.1k · 129 announced
  12. + AutomationPoor odds22 devs · median $6.0k · 46 announced

All 139 pairs on the Destruction page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Diablo II: Resurrected – Infernal Edition $39.99 5,855 86% 176k $7.0M (exactly $7,024,244) Blizzard Entertainment, Inc.
Shadow Warrior 3: Definitive Edition older $39.99 4,820 69% 145k $5.8M (exactly $5,782,554) Flying Wild Hog
Shadows of Forbidden Gods older $19.99 1,046 91% 31k $627k (exactly $627,286) Bobby Two Hands
我在地球修仙有系统 older $14.99 959 70% 29k $431k (exactly $431,262) 红星
Warhammer 40,000: Speed Freeks $19.99 493 85% 15k $296k (exactly $295,652) Caged Element
Soulash older $14.99 513 69% 15k $231k (exactly $230,696) Artur Smiarowski
Inner Chains older $19.99 355 48% 11k $213k (exactly $212,893) Telepaths Tree
Wartorn $34.99 130 73% 3.9k $136k (exactly $136,461) Stray Kite Studios
Munch $16.66 96 60% 2.9k $48k (exactly $47,981) Mac n Cheese Games
Sera's Adventure -Cave of Destruction- $18.99 76 53% 2.3k $43k (exactly $43,297) 渡里laboratory
Lichgate: Tower Survivor $6.99 57 75% 1.7k $12k (exactly $11,953) Sun Lion Games
Ravager - Moon-Friendly Edition · EA $19.99 4 100% 120 $2.4k (exactly $2,399) 4MinuteWarning
Bat Blast! $7.99 10 100% 300 $2.4k (exactly $2,397) Cyan Sundae
Samsara $9.99 6 50% 180 $1.8k (exactly $1,798) Narriflux
Voldark $11.99 3 0% 90 $1.1k (exactly $1,079) OzbalHan

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.