Do I ship it?

Games › Hero Shooter › Hero Shooter + Cyberpunk

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Cyberpunk Hero Shooter?

Hero Shooter + Cyberpunk

Of 20 developers who shipped a Cyberpunk Hero Shooter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 44 more are announced, ×4.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 9 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $240 in the last 2 years and $360 over 4, against a market of $1.3k for a 9 / 10 build. 10 developers shipped in the last year and 44 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.2 times the market baseline, revenue up 795% on the market, 44 announced, ×4.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Hero Shooter + Cyberpunk
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 20
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $27k → $239 → $9.7k → $0 → $90 → $4.3k → $14k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Hero Shooter + Cyberpunk: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 20
Bottom 30% $90 (exactly $90)
Median $240 (exactly $240)
Top 25% $4.3k (exactly $4,315)
Top 5% $54M (exactly $53,889,324)
Developers, 2 yr 20
Released games 80
Announced 44
Effort 9 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 795% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 25%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Hero Shooter
effort 9 / 10 · low · competitive netcode plus hero balance and content cadence
Cyberpunk
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
9 / 10 · studio only
Systems
Hero Shooter; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Shooter, Arena Shooter
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $39.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 1980s, 1990's, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 81% positive over 45,339 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $90, median $240, 1 in 4 over $4.3k, 1 in 20 over $53M.

3 in 10 developers made under $90. 8 in 10 of the 14 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 44 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Hero Shooter with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SimulationLong shot31 devs · median $478 · 28 announced
  2. + Bullet HellLong shot59 devs · median $449 · 56 announced
  3. + Boomer ShooterLong shot30 devs · median $210 · 21 announced
  4. + MedievalLong shot10 devs · median $150 · 12 announced
  5. + Online Co-OpPoor odds20 devs · median $7.2k · 51 announced
  6. + SuperheroPoor odds6 devs · median $6.3k · 11 announced
  7. + Battle RoyalePoor odds9 devs · median $3.6k · 29 announced
  8. + Co-opPoor odds22 devs · median $3.6k · 53 announced
  9. + PvPPoor odds27 devs · median $2.3k · 127 announced
  10. + PlatformerPoor odds21 devs · median $2.2k · 33 announced
  11. + Character CustomizationPoor odds25 devs · median $2.1k · 68 announced
  12. + PhysicsPoor odds27 devs · median $1.6k · 34 announced

All 87 pairs on the Hero Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Marathon 2026 · $54M SUPERHOT VR 2017 · $6.0M Raw Data 2017 · $2.4M Bleeding Edge 2020 · $1.3M Beyond Sunset 2025 · $89k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Marathon $39.99 44,919 81% 1.3M $54M (exactly $53,889,324) Bungie
SUPERHOT VR older $24.99 7,978 82% 239k $6.0M (exactly $5,981,107) SUPERHOT Team
Raw Data older $39.99 2,036 81% 61k $2.4M (exactly $2,442,589) Survios
Bleeding Edge older $29.99 1,411 66% 42k $1.3M (exactly $1,269,477) Ninja Theory
Beyond Sunset $9.99 297 77% 8.9k $89k (exactly $89,011) Metacorp / Vaporware
MEATGRINDER older $9.99 248 87% 7.4k $74k (exactly $74,326) Vampire Squid
Fossilfuel older $14.99 153 70% 4.6k $69k (exactly $68,804) DangerousBob Studio LLC
Mortal Blitz older $19.99 66 72% 2.0k $40k (exactly $39,580) Skonec Entertainment
Federation77 older $9.99 96 78% 2.9k $29k (exactly $28,771) MIROWIN
SEX with HITLER: 2069 older $3.99 228 75% 6.8k $27k (exactly $27,292) Adolf Games
Alien Strike: Blasting the Intruders $9.99 57 85% 1.7k $17k (exactly $17,083) Combo Game Studio
HoverGrease 2 $19.99 24 83% 720 $14k (exactly $14,393) Altergaze
Dinopunk: the Cacops adventure $7.99 18 94% 540 $4.3k (exactly $4,315) The Dude Games
IHAS $9.99 13 92% 390 $3.9k (exactly $3,896) The Difference Studios
Gun Predict $4.99 3 100% 90 $449 (exactly $449) Gabry Corti
OMEGA 卡牌冒险 $3.99 3 0% 90 $359 (exactly $359) OMEGA
WhamPunch 超能打 · EA $2.99 4 25% 120 $359 (exactly $359) AWE_some_ZT
Asteranova · EA $7.99 1 100% 30 $240 (exactly $240) AM Factory

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.