Do I ship it?

GamesDestructionDestruction + Crime

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Crime Destruction game?

Destruction + Crime

Only 11 developers shipped a Crime Destruction game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Deliver At All Costs, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 27 more are announced, ×4.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.6k, ×2.5 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180; 1 in 20 cleared $280k, ×458 the market median. Revenue is down 75% on the market; 27 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.5 times the market baseline, revenue down 75% on the market, 27 announced, ×4.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Destruction + Crime
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 11

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Destruction + Crime: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 11
Bottom 30% $179 (exactly $179)
Median $1.6k (exactly $1,559)
Top 25% $12k (exactly $11,642)
Top 5% $288k (exactly $287,904)
Developers, 2 yr 11
Released games 29
Announced 27
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 75% on the market, supply 20% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 24%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Destruction
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Crime
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Destruction
Price point
$5.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 9 games average 71% positive over 715 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $1.6k, 1 in 4 over $11k, 1 in 20 over $280k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. 5 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 27 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Destruction with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Space SimFair14 devs · median $3.7k · 22 announced
  2. + ModernFair26 devs · median $1.6k · 28 announced
  3. + God GameFair19 devs · median $899 · 20 announced
  4. + Hidden ObjectFair9 devs · median $719 · 14 announced
  5. + Hack and SlashPoor odds19 devs · median $43k · 57 announced
  6. + HistoricalPoor odds15 devs · median $26k · 22 announced
  7. + CapitalismPoor odds17 devs · median $15k · 46 announced
  8. + Online Co-OpPoor odds37 devs · median $13k · 102 announced
  9. + Co-opPoor odds50 devs · median $11k · 113 announced
  10. + Automobile SimPoor odds22 devs · median $9.0k · 44 announced
  11. + ManagementPoor odds36 devs · median $6.1k · 129 announced
  12. + AutomationPoor odds22 devs · median $6.0k · 46 announced

All 139 pairs on the Destruction page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Need for Speed™ Hot Pursuit Remastered older $29.99 13,583 81% 407k $12M (exactly $12,220,625) Stellar Entertainment Limited
Flashing Lights - Police, Firefighting, Emergency Services (EMS) Simulator older $24.99 16,166 80% 485k $12M (exactly $12,119,650) Nils Jakrins
Shadows of Forbidden Gods older $19.99 1,046 91% 31k $627k (exactly $627,286) Bobby Two Hands
Deliver At All Costs $29.99 320 73% 9.6k $288k (exactly $287,904) Studio Far Out Games
Glitchpunk $19.99 174 47% 5.2k $104k (exactly $104,348) Dark Lord
Conur Life · EA older $5.99 134 91% 4.0k $24k (exactly $24,080) San Hugo Studios
Ultra Cop $1.99 195 89% 5.9k $12k (exactly $11,642) JG Roos
PEE WAR! older $1.99 61 93% 1.8k $3.6k (exactly $3,642) LBR games, Integer games
No Tyrant older $5.99 17 76% 510 $3.1k (exactly $3,055) ShadowDevour
A-Star Theft older $4.99 17 100% 510 $2.5k (exactly $2,545) Kehler Creations
Jack's 510 Racing $9.99 7 100% 210 $2.1k (exactly $2,098) heartingNinja
Wreckage · EA $12.99 5 80% 150 $1.9k (exactly $1,948) Jupiter Lighthouse Games
The Boston Breeder $12.99 4 25% 120 $1.6k (exactly $1,559) LostWorks
TearItUp® Remix $5.99 2 100% 60 $359 (exactly $359) Immure Creations®
My Zombie Apocalypse $1.99 3 66% 90 $179 (exactly $179) Kornux Games
Streets of Fear $0.99 5 100% 150 $148 (exactly $148) Willoughby Games
The Score $5.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Steve Dee, Dylan O'Dwyer

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.