Do I ship it?

GamesCreature CollectorCreature Collector + Music

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Music Creature Collector?

Creature Collector + Music

Only 12 developers shipped a Music Creature Collector in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Ithya: Magic Studies, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 11 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $16k, ×25 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $4.6k; 1 in 20 cleared $690k, ×1104 the market median. Revenue is down 60% on the market; 11 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 24.9 times the market baseline, revenue down 60% on the market, 11 announced, ×1.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Creature Collector + Music
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $958 → $5.5M → $2.9k → $23k → $46k → $5.9k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Creature Collector + Music: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $4.5k (exactly $4,549)
Median $16k (exactly $15,634)
Top 25% $46k (exactly $45,854)
Top 5% $693k (exactly $693,359)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 48
Announced 11
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 60% on the market, supply 60% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Creature Collector
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Music
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Creature Collector
Price point
$5.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 95% positive over 2,710 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $4.6k, median $16k, 1 in 4 over $45k, 1 in 20 over $690k.

3 in 10 developers made under $4.6k. 7 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 11 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Creature Collector with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Perma DeathFair30 devs · median $5.3k · 33 announced
  2. + Bullet HellFair24 devs · median $3.4k · 33 announced
  3. + CapitalismFair38 devs · median $3.2k · 38 announced
  4. + LootFair51 devs · median $2.9k · 67 announced
  5. + IdlerFair248 devs · median $2.1k · 260 announced
  6. + IncrementalFair177 devs · median $1.9k · 191 announced
  7. + Action RoguelikeFair39 devs · median $1.8k · 54 announced
  8. + SpaceFair30 devs · median $1.5k · 39 announced
  9. + ZombiesFair14 devs · median $1.5k · 10 announced
  10. + ArcadeFair73 devs · median $629 · 85 announced
  11. + Co-opPoor odds31 devs · median $28k · 82 announced
  12. + Dating SimPoor odds14 devs · median $23k · 43 announced

All 133 pairs on the Creature Collector page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Spirit City: Lofi Sessions older $11.99 15,211 97% 456k $5.5M (exactly $5,471,397) Mooncube Games
Ithya: Magic Studies $10.99 2,103 97% 63k $693k (exactly $693,359) BlueTurtle
moon: Remix RPG Adventure older $18.99 359 94% 11k $205k (exactly $204,522) Onion Games
Bean Beasts $13.99 113 89% 3.4k $47k (exactly $47,426) Anxious Noob
With Me: Aquatic Time · EA $9.99 153 88% 4.6k $46k (exactly $45,854) Sensory Patch Games
Alekon older $15.99 92 98% 2.8k $44k (exactly $44,132) The Alekon Company
Tempopo $19.99 39 97% 1.2k $23k (exactly $23,388) Witch Beam
Hocus Focus $10.99 57 91% 1.7k $19k (exactly $18,793) Stuck In Attic
Lofi aquarium $5.99 87 77% 2.6k $16k (exactly $15,634) LitheGame
I commissioned some cats older $3.99 126 96% 3.8k $15k (exactly $15,082) Follow the fun
Feather Land $6.99 28 85% 840 $5.9k (exactly $5,872) Peep Nest
Comfy Girl $2.99 57 87% 1.7k $5.1k (exactly $5,113) Unorthodox Box
Little Ghosties · EA $3.99 38 89% 1.1k $4.5k (exactly $4,549) Acrylic Pixel Games
Chowdown Kitty $2.99 35 74% 1.1k $3.1k (exactly $3,140) Lunar Peace

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.