Do I ship it?

GamesCreature CollectorCreature Collector + Dating Sim

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Dating Sim Creature Collector?

Creature Collector + Dating Sim

Only 14 developers shipped a Dating Sim Creature Collector in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, JASON, Coming of Age, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 43 more are announced, ×7.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $23k, ×37 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $7.0k; 1 in 20 cleared $540k, ×869 the market median. Revenue is up 25% on the market; 43 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 37.2 times the market baseline, revenue up 25% on the market, 43 announced, ×7.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Creature Collector + Dating Sim
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 14
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $881k → $13k → $5.6k → $6.9k → $344k → $16k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Creature Collector + Dating Sim: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 14
Bottom 30% $6.9k (exactly $6,924)
Median $23k (exactly $23,377)
Top 25% $102k (exactly $101,720)
Top 5% $545k (exactly $545,486)
Developers, 2 yr 14
Released games 44
Announced 43
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 25% on the market, supply 25% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Creature Collector
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Dating Sim
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Creature Collector, Dating Sim
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 4,658 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $7.0k, median $23k, 1 in 4 over $100k, 1 in 20 over $540k.

3 in 10 developers made under $7.0k. 6 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 43 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×7.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Creature Collector with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Perma DeathFair30 devs · median $5.3k · 33 announced
  2. + Bullet HellFair24 devs · median $3.4k · 33 announced
  3. + CapitalismFair38 devs · median $3.2k · 38 announced
  4. + LootFair51 devs · median $2.9k · 67 announced
  5. + IdlerFair248 devs · median $2.1k · 260 announced
  6. + IncrementalFair177 devs · median $1.9k · 191 announced
  7. + Action RoguelikeFair39 devs · median $1.8k · 54 announced
  8. + SpaceFair30 devs · median $1.5k · 39 announced
  9. + ZombiesFair14 devs · median $1.5k · 10 announced
  10. + ArcadeFair73 devs · median $629 · 85 announced
  11. + Co-opPoor odds31 devs · median $28k · 82 announced
  12. + MusicPoor odds12 devs · median $16k · 11 announced

All 133 pairs on the Creature Collector page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Moonstone Island older $19.99 4,063 84% 122k $2.4M (exactly $2,436,581) Studio Supersoft
Rune Factory 5 older $39.99 1,940 76% 58k $2.3M (exactly $2,327,418) Marvelous Inc.
Rune Factory 4 Special older $29.99 2,070 88% 62k $1.9M (exactly $1,862,379) Marvelous Inc.
Rune Factory 3 Special older $39.99 734 94% 22k $881k (exactly $880,580) Marvelous Inc.
JASON, Coming of Age $14.99 1,213 83% 36k $545k (exactly $545,486) Coeur de cochon
Island Notes $12.99 884 82% 27k $344k (exactly $344,495) KangBaoGame
My Lovely Wife older $14.99 685 74% 21k $308k (exactly $308,044) GameChanger Studio, Toge Productions
Fantasy Aquarium $6.99 833 79% 25k $175k (exactly $174,680) MOON SCAPE
Athenian Rhapsody older $14.99 320 91% 9.6k $144k (exactly $143,904) Nico Papalia
Chicken Hill $2.99 1,134 99% 34k $102k (exactly $101,720) 梗立游戏
Nimbit Frontier · EA $13.99 113 97% 3.4k $47k (exactly $47,426) Megasploot
Desktop Kitten Girl $3.99 277 86% 8.3k $33k (exactly $33,157) KDream
Basketboy's Adventure $9.99 78 78% 2.3k $23k (exactly $23,377) greenteagame1
Stuff It! $9.99 54 87% 1.6k $16k (exactly $16,184) BONNISOFT
Hentai Dates $9.99 51 66% 1.5k $15k (exactly $15,285) Fantasy Games
My Life In A Monster Girl Paradise $10.99 21 71% 630 $6.9k (exactly $6,924) Xoullion

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.