Do I ship it?

GamesTacticalTactical + Crafting

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Crafting Tactical game?

Tactical + Crafting

Of 96 developers who shipped a Crafting Tactical game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 203 more are announced, ×3.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.4k, ×3.8 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $720; 1 in 20 cleared $440k, ×704 the market median. Revenue is up 135% on the market; 203 games are announced against 60 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.8 times the market baseline, revenue up 135% on the market, 203 announced, ×3.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Tactical + Crafting
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 96
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $9.6k → $450 → $9.6k → $750 → $6.7k → $1.8k → $4.5k (still earning) → $899 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Tactical + Crafting: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 96
Bottom 30% $719 (exactly $719)
Median $2.4k (exactly $2,397)
Top 25% $13k (exactly $13,193)
Top 5% $442k (exactly $442,323)
Developers, 2 yr 96
Released games 247
Announced 203
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $8.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 135% on the market, supply 65% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Tactical
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Crafting
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Tactical, Crafting; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, RPG, Resource Management
Price point
$8.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 10,975 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $720, median $2.4k, 1 in 4 over $13k, 1 in 20 over $440k.

3 in 10 developers made under $720. 9 in 10 of the 40 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 203 games are announced against 60 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Tactical with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Football (American)Strong odds12 devs · median $5.8k · 8 announced
  2. + Mystery DungeonStrong odds20 devs · median $2.5k · 15 announced
  3. + Dating SimFair13 devs · median $11k · 9 announced
  4. + 6DOFFair14 devs · median $2.4k · 19 announced
  5. + Word GameFair23 devs · median $1.8k · 12 announced
  6. + TypingFair16 devs · median $1.2k · 9 announced
  7. + DwarvesFair7 devs · median $1.0k · 10 announced
  8. + Traditional RoguelikeFair38 devs · median $987 · 57 announced
  9. + Dynamic NarrationFair13 devs · median $899 · 16 announced
  10. + Farming SimFair12 devs · median $897 · 10 announced
  11. + SolitaireFair25 devs · median $479 · 22 announced
  12. + LGBTQ+Fair20 devs · median $479 · 21 announced

All 226 pairs on the Tactical page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Foxhole older $29.99 47,330 79% 1.4M $43M (exactly $42,582,801) Siege Camp
News Tower $24.99 4,316 94% 129k $3.2M (exactly $3,235,705) Sparrow Night
Little Big Workshop older $19.99 2,522 84% 76k $1.5M (exactly $1,512,443) Mirage Game Studios
The Settlers: New Allies older $39.99 1,175 49% 35k $1.4M (exactly $1,409,648) Ubisoft Düsseldorf
The Oregon Trail older $29.99 1,220 79% 37k $1.1M (exactly $1,097,634) Gameloft
GemCraft - Frostborn Wrath older $12.99 2,691 88% 81k $1.0M (exactly $1,048,683) Game in a Bottle
Urban Strife $34.99 653 69% 20k $685k (exactly $685,454) White Pond Games
Anomaly President · EA $14.99 1,376 91% 41k $619k (exactly $618,787) Phew Phew Games
Tangy TD $9.99 1,508 90% 45k $452k (exactly $451,948) Cakez
Survive the Fall $24.99 590 65% 18k $442k (exactly $442,323) Angry Bulls Studio
Approaching Infinity $17.99 723 95% 22k $390k (exactly $390,203) IBOL
Machine Mind $19.99 567 71% 17k $340k (exactly $340,030) Chudo-Yudo Games
Castle Of Alchemists $14.99 618 80% 19k $278k (exactly $277,915) Team Machiavelli
BREAK ARTS III $17.99 334 80% 10k $180k (exactly $180,260) MercuryStudio
CFS (Chinese Football Simulator) $9.99 290 67% 8.7k $87k (exactly $86,913) 悟空实验室

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.