Do I ship it?

GamesPolitical SimPolitical Sim + Conspiracy

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Conspiracy Political Sim?

Political Sim + Conspiracy

Only 11 developers shipped a Conspiracy Political Sim in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Prime Monster, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 40 more are announced, ×4.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $450, ×0.9 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50; 1 in 20 cleared $180k, ×389 the market median. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 40 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.9 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 40 announced, ×4.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Political Sim + Conspiracy
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 11
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $449 → $9.9k (still earning) → $600 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Political Sim + Conspiracy: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 11
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $449 (exactly $449)
Top 25% $2.4k (exactly $2,395)
Top 5% $185k (exactly $184,708)
Developers, 2 yr 11
Released games 37
Announced 40
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 350% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Political Sim
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Conspiracy
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Political Sim
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 6 games average 83% positive over 369 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $450, 1 in 4 over $2.3k, 1 in 20 over $180k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 40 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Political Sim with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + DetectiveFair10 devs · median $9.9k · 15 announced
  2. + Psychological HorrorFair10 devs · median $4.8k · 16 announced
  3. + IdlerFair20 devs · median $1.2k · 14 announced
  4. + IncrementalFair17 devs · median $832 · 16 announced
  5. + Board GameFair18 devs · median $600 · 13 announced
  6. + TabletopFair12 devs · median $600 · 12 announced
  7. + CombatPoor odds14 devs · median $49k · 22 announced
  8. + Sci-fiPoor odds24 devs · median $17k · 33 announced
  9. + FuturisticPoor odds16 devs · median $15k · 27 announced
  10. + 4XPoor odds29 devs · median $12k · 50 announced
  11. + Cold WarPoor odds15 devs · median $9.9k · 23 announced
  12. + BuildingPoor odds37 devs · median $9.6k · 83 announced

All 72 pairs on the Political Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Shadows of Forbidden Gods older $19.99 1,046 91% 31k $627k (exactly $627,286) Bobby Two Hands
Rise Of The White Sun - 白日升 older $24.99 721 86% 22k $541k (exactly $540,534) Maestro Cinetik
Sigma Theory: Global Cold War older $17.99 892 77% 27k $481k (exactly $481,412) Mi-Clos Studio, Goblinz Studio, FibreTi… (Mi-Clos Studio, Goblinz Studio, FibreTigre)
Prime Monster $19.99 308 83% 9.2k $185k (exactly $184,708) Cavalier Game Studios
Secret Government older $19.99 249 52% 7.5k $149k (exactly $149,325) GameTrek
I Am Your President older $14.99 263 66% 7.9k $118k (exactly $118,271) President
Booth: A Dystopian Adventure older $9.99 354 88% 11k $106k (exactly $106,094) Guanpeng Chen
The Shadow Government Simulator older $9.99 100 75% 3.0k $30k (exactly $29,970) Chupacabra Game Studios
Shadows Behind the Throne 2 older $7.99 47 76% 1.4k $11k (exactly $11,266) Bobby Two Hands
Statecraft: Corrupted Democracy $9.99 33 90% 990 $9.9k (exactly $9,890) Engincan Çiçek, Bad Engine Studio
Senatus $4.99 16 81% 480 $2.4k (exactly $2,395) Slashware Interactive, Megalevel
Your Price, Your Honor. $2.99 8 62% 240 $718 (exactly $718) Red Comb Studios
Imperial Wager: The Shattered Crown of Augustus $19.99 1 0% 30 $600 (exactly $600) Ke Zhou
Dark Web: Vigilante · EA $4.99 3 100% 90 $449 (exactly $449) Edgebyter_
Meow World Order $3.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Spiritual Opium
The Legend of Abdal $0.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Redacdev
Clairval $1.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Alpharkane
DOSSIER 089 $5.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Hamza DURAK

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.