Do I ship it?

GamesPolitical SimPolitical Sim + Detective

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Detective Political Sim?

Political Sim + Detective

Only 10 developers shipped a Detective Political Sim in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, The Darkest Files, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 15 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $9.9k, ×21 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $360. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 15 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 20.8 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 15 announced, ×1.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Political Sim + Detective
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 10

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Political Sim + Detective: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 10
Bottom 30% $359 (exactly $359)
Median $9.9k (exactly $9,890)
Top 25% $136k (exactly $136,064)
Top 5% $401k (exactly $400,600)
Developers, 2 yr 10
Released games 25
Announced 15
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 300% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Political Sim
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Detective
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Political Sim
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 7 games average 87% positive over 1,689 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $360, median $9.9k, 1 in 4 over $130k, 1 in 20 over $400k.

3 in 10 developers made under $360. 15 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Political Sim with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Psychological HorrorFair10 devs · median $4.8k · 16 announced
  2. + IdlerFair20 devs · median $1.2k · 14 announced
  3. + IncrementalFair17 devs · median $832 · 16 announced
  4. + Board GameFair18 devs · median $600 · 13 announced
  5. + TabletopFair12 devs · median $600 · 12 announced
  6. + CombatPoor odds14 devs · median $49k · 22 announced
  7. + Sci-fiPoor odds24 devs · median $17k · 33 announced
  8. + FuturisticPoor odds16 devs · median $15k · 27 announced
  9. + 4XPoor odds29 devs · median $12k · 50 announced
  10. + Cold WarPoor odds15 devs · median $9.9k · 23 announced
  11. + BuildingPoor odds37 devs · median $9.6k · 83 announced
  12. + SpacePoor odds14 devs · median $9.6k · 25 announced

All 72 pairs on the Political Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Orwell: Keeping an Eye On You older $9.99 8,936 90% 268k $2.7M (exactly $2,678,119) Osmotic Studios
Orwell: Ignorance is Strength older $9.99 1,506 77% 45k $451k (exactly $451,348) Osmotic Studios
The Darkest Files $19.99 668 95% 20k $401k (exactly $400,600) Paintbucket Games
Lightracer: For Judge $9.99 462 92% 14k $138k (exactly $138,461) Smartmelon Games
Security 51 $9.99 454 71% 14k $136k (exactly $136,064) Alawar
Interrogation: You will be deceived older $12.99 321 77% 9.6k $125k (exactly $125,094) Critique Gaming
Justice.exe · EA older $11.99 76 57% 2.3k $27k (exactly $27,337) Late Game Clutch
What Awaits, Aleksey? $15.99 51 86% 1.5k $24k (exactly $24,465) JKBC
City Eye older $9.99 73 32% 2.2k $22k (exactly $21,878) ·
The Divine Deception older $14.99 38 86% 1.1k $17k (exactly $17,089) Themisian
Miss Peacock $9.99 33 96% 990 $9.9k (exactly $9,890) Otter Club
Black Border 2 $1.99 19 63% 570 $1.1k (exactly $1,134) Bitzooma
墨缇斯:霾影季度 $5.99 2 100% 60 $359 (exactly $359) 青礼社Bendetizoin
Police Chief Simulator $19.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Perfect Circle Team S.A.
Duty Guvnor $8.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Articulable LLC
Adverse Action · EA $12.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Quiet Machines

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.