Do I ship it?

Games › Destruction › Destruction + Collectathon

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Collectathon Destruction game?

Destruction + Collectathon

Only 15 developers shipped a Collectathon Destruction game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, BLACKWOOD, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 27 more are announced, ×3.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.1k, ×1.7 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $240; 1 in 20 cleared $420k, ×674 the market median. Revenue is down 55% on the market; 27 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.7 times the market baseline, revenue down 55% on the market, 27 announced, ×3.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Destruction + Collectathon
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 15
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $150 → $24k → $0 (still earning) → $629 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Destruction + Collectathon: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 15
Bottom 30% $239 (exactly $239)
Median $1.1k (exactly $1,078)
Top 25% $39k (exactly $38,970)
Top 5% $424k (exactly $423,580)
Developers, 2 yr 15
Released games 38
Announced 27
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 55% on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Destruction
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Collectathon
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Destruction, Collectathon; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Action-Adventure, Exploration
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, 3D, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 77% positive over 1,879 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $240, median $1.1k, 1 in 4 over $38k, 1 in 20 over $420k.

3 in 10 developers made under $240. 9 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 27 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Destruction with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Space SimFair14 devs · median $3.7k · 22 announced
  2. + ModernFair26 devs · median $1.6k · 28 announced
  3. + God GameFair19 devs · median $899 · 20 announced
  4. + Hidden ObjectFair9 devs · median $719 · 14 announced
  5. + Hack and SlashPoor odds19 devs · median $43k · 57 announced
  6. + HistoricalPoor odds15 devs · median $26k · 22 announced
  7. + CapitalismPoor odds17 devs · median $15k · 46 announced
  8. + Online Co-OpPoor odds37 devs · median $13k · 102 announced
  9. + Co-opPoor odds50 devs · median $11k · 113 announced
  10. + Automobile SimPoor odds22 devs · median $9.0k · 44 announced
  11. + ManagementPoor odds36 devs · median $6.1k · 129 announced
  12. + AutomationPoor odds22 devs · median $6.0k · 46 announced

All 139 pairs on the Destruction page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

BLACKWOOD 2026 · $424k Catlateral Damage: Remeowstered 2021 · $134k Smash Hit Museum 2025 · $106k DigDigDrill 2024 · $73k Garbage Truck Simulator 2023 · $45k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
BLACKWOOD $24.99 565 46% 17k $424k (exactly $423,580) AttritoM7 Productions
Catlateral Damage: Remeowstered older $14.99 298 98% 8.9k $134k (exactly $134,011) Manekoware, Fire Hose Games
Smash Hit Museum $6.99 507 85% 15k $106k (exactly $106,318) InIt Games
DigDigDrill $3.99 607 95% 18k $73k (exactly $72,658) Toorai
Garbage Truck Simulator older $8.99 166 71% 5.0k $45k (exactly $44,770) Darius Bode
No Fair Play older $2.99 452 90% 14k $41k (exactly $40,544) Self MADev
Tasty Planet: Final Bite $12.99 100 90% 3.0k $39k (exactly $38,970) Dingo Games
ACUVAC: A Suck and Blow Adventure $14.99 54 98% 1.6k $24k (exactly $24,284) Curdle Games, Mr_Afroduck
Yogurt Commercial 3 older $9.99 62 98% 1.9k $19k (exactly $18,581) Epic Banana Games LLC
Paper Flight - Speed Rush older $9.99 16 93% 480 $4.8k (exactly $4,795) EpiXR Games UG
Arrows and Antiquity $4.99 16 87% 480 $2.4k (exactly $2,395) True Neutral Studios
Deepcore Mining $3.99 18 83% 540 $2.2k (exactly $2,155) SilverMoon Studios
Checked Out $5.99 6 100% 180 $1.1k (exactly $1,078) Part-Time Games
Clickonomy · EA $6.99 3 66% 90 $629 (exactly $629) AO
Fill The Void $5.99 3 100% 90 $539 (exactly $539) Morph

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.