Do I ship it?

GamesEconomyEconomy + Cold War

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Cold-War Economy game?

Economy + Cold War

Only 12 developers shipped a Cold-War Economy game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Crisis in the Kremlin: The Cold War, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 21 more are announced, ×3.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.2k, ×1.9 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $390; 1 in 20 cleared $160k, ×266 the market median. Revenue is up 4450% on the market; 21 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.9 times the market baseline, revenue up 4450% on the market, 21 announced, ×3.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Economy + Cold War
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Economy + Cold War: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $390 (exactly $390)
Median $1.2k (exactly $1,198)
Top 25% $15k (exactly $14,994)
Top 5% $167k (exactly $167,311)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 29
Announced 21
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 4450% on the market, supply 40% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 21%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Economy
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Cold War
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Economy
Price point
$7.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 80% positive over 997 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $390, median $1.2k, 1 in 4 over $14k, 1 in 20 over $160k.

3 in 10 developers made under $390. 7 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 21 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Economy with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorFair116 devs · median $22k · 125 announced
  2. + Football (Soccer)Fair21 devs · median $6.8k · 29 announced
  3. + ScienceFair39 devs · median $5.9k · 39 announced
  4. + MiningFair116 devs · median $5.0k · 173 announced
  5. + LootFair74 devs · median $4.6k · 114 announced
  6. + CollectathonFair125 devs · median $3.8k · 151 announced
  7. + God GameFair47 devs · median $2.8k · 58 announced
  8. + Auto BattlerFair59 devs · median $2.4k · 79 announced
  9. + IdlerFair441 devs · median $2.3k · 589 announced
  10. + IncrementalFair408 devs · median $2.2k · 612 announced
  11. + ArcadeFair199 devs · median $2.1k · 285 announced
  12. + Strategy RPGFair95 devs · median $2.0k · 128 announced

All 161 pairs on the Economy page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Tropico 4 older $14.99 8,211 91% 246k $3.7M (exactly $3,692,487) Haemimont Games
Tropico 3 older $9.99 843 90% 25k $253k (exactly $252,647) Haemimont Games
Crisis in the Kremlin: The Cold War $7.99 698 80% 21k $167k (exactly $167,311) Nostalgames
For the Fatherland: Chronicle of Park Chung-hee $14.99 176 88% 5.3k $79k (exactly $79,147) KMS STUDIO
Socialism Simulator older $3.99 240 95% 7.2k $29k (exactly $28,728) Sempiternal Rain
Arms Race - TCWE older $9.99 60 68% 1.8k $18k (exactly $17,982) Alina Digital
SkyChart: Airline Executive · EA $24.99 20 75% 600 $15k (exactly $14,994) Casey Jones Labs
POTUS Election Sim $9.99 47 53% 1.4k $14k (exactly $14,086) Dackers Studios
Statecraft: Corrupted Democracy $9.99 33 90% 990 $9.9k (exactly $9,890) Engincan Çiçek, Bad Engine Studio
US and THEM older $2.99 82 36% 2.5k $7.4k (exactly $7,355) Icehole Games
Lunokhod $4.99 8 87% 240 $1.2k (exactly $1,198) Lunokhod Labs
The Syndicate: Classified Operations $4.99 7 57% 210 $1.0k (exactly $1,048) A and I Software
Government Contractors: Arms of Influence · EA $6.00 5 20% 150 $900 (exactly $900) Dan K.
World War Forex · EA $12.99 1 100% 30 $390 (exactly $390) Leobot Electronics, Leon Botha, INESSOFT
Strategic Stalemate $4.99 2 100% 60 $299 (exactly $299) Lixdy

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.