Do I ship it?

Games › Co-op › Co-op + Snow

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Snow Co-op game?

Co-op + Snow

Only 10 developers shipped a Snow Co-op game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Sledding Game, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 31 more are announced, ×4.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $13k, ×8.8 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $3.6k; 1 in 20 cleared $690k, ×466 the market median. Revenue is down 70% on the market; 31 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 8.8 times the market baseline, revenue down 70% on the market, 31 announced, ×4.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Co-op + Snow
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 10

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Co-op + Snow: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 10
Bottom 30% $3.6k (exactly $3,598)
Median $13k (exactly $13,187)
Top 25% $84k (exactly $83,976)
Top 5% $699k (exactly $698,726)
Developers, 2 yr 10
Released games 29
Announced 31
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 70% on the market, supply 135% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

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Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Co-op
effort 7 / 10 · low · co-op on Steam means online sessions and drop-in sync
Snow
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Co-op
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 91% positive over 4,091 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $3.6k, median $13k, 1 in 4 over $83k, 1 in 20 over $690k.

3 in 10 developers made under $3.6k. 8 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 31 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Co-op with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SuperheroFair9 devs · median $11k · 17 announced
  2. + Boomer ShooterFair16 devs · median $6.9k · 24 announced
  3. + GamblingFair22 devs · median $4.4k · 32 announced
  4. + NinjaFair13 devs · median $4.2k · 13 announced
  5. + TypingLong shot16 devs · median $810 · 13 announced
  6. + Word GameLong shot23 devs · median $267 · 23 announced
  7. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds58 devs · median $515k · 127 announced
  8. + World War IIPoor odds12 devs · median $372k · 23 announced
  9. + AutomationPoor odds48 devs · median $369k · 110 announced
  10. + TransportationPoor odds17 devs · median $369k · 25 announced
  11. + JRPGPoor odds15 devs · median $164k · 19 announced
  12. + Turn-BasedPoor odds12 devs · median $131k · 19 announced

All 230 pairs on the Co-op page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Steep™ 2016 · $28M Bread & Fred 2023 · $1.9M LOST PLANET® 3 2013 · $1.5M Fade to Silence 2019 · $928k Lost Planet™: Extreme Condition 2007 · $845k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Steep™ older $29.99 30,589 82% 918k $28M (exactly $27,520,923) Ubisoft Annecy, Ubisoft Montpellier, Ub… (Ubisoft Annecy, Ubisoft Montpellier, Ubisoft Kiev)
Bread & Fred older $14.99 4,217 79% 127k $1.9M (exactly $1,896,385) SandCastles Studio
LOST PLANET® 3 older $24.99 2,008 64% 60k $1.5M (exactly $1,505,398) Spark Unlimited
Fade to Silence older $29.99 1,032 62% 31k $928k (exactly $928,490) Black Forest Games
Lost Planet™: Extreme Condition older $14.99 1,878 80% 56k $845k (exactly $844,537) CAPCOM Co., Ltd.
Sledding Game · EA $7.99 2,915 96% 87k $699k (exactly $698,726) The Sledding Corporation
Arctico older $9.99 2,207 70% 66k $661k (exactly $661,438) Claudio Norori, Antonio Vargas
OxyRail · EA $14.99 949 80% 28k $427k (exactly $426,765) OxygenTech Limited
Grand Mountain Adventure: Wonderlands older $19.99 320 92% 9.6k $192k (exactly $191,904) Toppluva AB
SNOW BROS. 2 SPECIAL $34.99 80 70% 2.4k $84k (exactly $83,976) CRT GAMES
Snow Bros. Wonderland $29.99 40 80% 1.2k $36k (exactly $35,988) Tatsujin, Bitwave Games, Toaplan
The Cold White $9.99 44 45% 1.3k $13k (exactly $13,187) 2MEDYA
LINK Penguins $5.99 31 87% 930 $5.6k (exactly $5,571) lemorion_1224
Snow Bros Classic Collection $14.99 8 100% 240 $3.6k (exactly $3,598) Headless Chicken Games, Toaplan
Cozy Holiday $4.99 13 100% 390 $1.9k (exactly $1,946) Centurion Developments
Frostgrims Revenge $2.99 10 60% 300 $897 (exactly $897) Visage Games Studio
The Orbit $7.99 1 0% 30 $240 (exactly $240) BluExolotL Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.