Do I ship it?

GamesCo-opCo-op + Conspiracy

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Conspiracy Co-op game?

Co-op + Conspiracy

Only 9 developers shipped a Conspiracy Co-op game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Agent 64: Spies Never Die, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 24 more are announced, ×3.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.4k, level with the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $420; 1 in 20 cleared $560k, ×374 the market median. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 24 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.0 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 24 announced, ×3.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Co-op + Conspiracy
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 9

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Co-op + Conspiracy: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 9
Bottom 30% $419 (exactly $419)
Median $1.4k (exactly $1,439)
Top 25% $7.8k (exactly $7,784)
Top 5% $560k (exactly $560,260)
Developers, 2 yr 9
Released games 25
Announced 24
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 250% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 24%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Co-op
effort 7 / 10 · low · co-op on Steam means online sessions and drop-in sync
Conspiracy
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Co-op
Price point
$5.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $21.64 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 80% positive over 18,101 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $420, median $1.4k, 1 in 4 over $7.7k, 1 in 20 over $560k.

3 in 10 developers made under $420. 24 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Co-op with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SuperheroFair9 devs · median $11k · 17 announced
  2. + Boomer ShooterFair16 devs · median $6.9k · 24 announced
  3. + GamblingFair22 devs · median $4.4k · 32 announced
  4. + NinjaFair13 devs · median $4.2k · 13 announced
  5. + TypingLong shot16 devs · median $810 · 13 announced
  6. + Word GameLong shot23 devs · median $267 · 23 announced
  7. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds58 devs · median $515k · 127 announced
  8. + World War IIPoor odds12 devs · median $372k · 23 announced
  9. + AutomationPoor odds48 devs · median $369k · 110 announced
  10. + TransportationPoor odds17 devs · median $369k · 25 announced
  11. + JRPGPoor odds15 devs · median $164k · 19 announced
  12. + Turn-BasedPoor odds12 devs · median $131k · 19 announced

All 230 pairs on the Co-op page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
SCP: 5K · EA older $19.99 12,334 80% 370k $7.4M (exactly $7,396,700) Affray Interactive
First Class Trouble older $14.99 3,103 79% 93k $1.4M (exactly $1,395,419) Invisible Walls
Agent 64: Spies Never Die $21.64 863 86% 26k $560k (exactly $560,260) Replicant D6
A Day Out older $9.99 607 76% 18k $182k (exactly $181,918) KevTheDev, gamesbychris
The Matriarch older $4.99 724 75% 22k $108k (exactly $108,383) Chewa
ECO HOLE older $9.99 223 88% 6.7k $67k (exactly $66,833) AIHASTO
SCP: Descent older $6.99 105 56% 3.2k $22k (exactly $22,018) Pixel Drip Games
The Backrooms Multiplayer · EA older $8.99 56 39% 1.7k $15k (exactly $15,103) Untold Backrooms Stories
Just Read The Instructions · EA older $9.99 37 48% 1.1k $11k (exactly $11,089) Knackelibang Productions
Dystopian Pet Simulator · EA $5.99 49 93% 1.5k $8.8k (exactly $8,805) dinca.team
diffiCULT · EA $4.99 52 94% 1.6k $7.8k (exactly $7,784) Ouz Games
The Masquerade $4.99 17 100% 510 $2.5k (exactly $2,545) Chewa
Xeno Rangers $11.99 4 100% 120 $1.4k (exactly $1,439) 9000 Legends
Chicken Strike®: Cluck Ops™ $1.99 14 42% 420 $836 (exactly $836) Bamboléo Games
John Fox $6.99 2 100% 60 $419 (exactly $419) 9Ratones, SergioPoverony
Ascension: The Immortal Alchemist · EA $11.99 1 100% 30 $360 (exactly $360) Violet Flame Studios
Operation: Black Genesis - The Immortal Trials $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) IL Labs

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.