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Should I ship a Choose Your Own Adventure God Game?
God Game + Choose Your Own Adventure
Only 16 developers shipped a Choose Your Own Adventure God Game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, FEED THE AI, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 27 more are announced, ×5.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $540, ×0.9 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $100k, ×159 the market median. Revenue is up 170% on the market; 27 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $150 (exactly $150) |
|---|---|
| Median | $538 (exactly $538) |
| Top 25% | $2.8k (exactly $2,848) |
| Top 5% | $100k (exactly $100,093) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 16 |
| Released games | 55 |
| Announced | 27 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 170% on the market, supply 55% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- God Game
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
- Choose Your Own Adventure
- effort 2 / 10 · high · branching text with light state
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- God Game, Choose Your Own Adventure; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Strategy, Management
- Price point
- $4.99 typical · top 25% priced $18.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Colorful, 3D, Hand-drawn
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $18.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 86% positive over 746 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $150. 9 in 10 of the 14 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 27 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.4 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
God Game with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + HistoricalFair
- + EconomyFair
- + PuzzleFair
- + Inventory ManagementFair
- + DestructionFair
- + DystopianFair
- + IdlerFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + ArcadeLong shot
- + Farming SimLong shot
- + AgricultureLong shot
- + Base BuildingPoor odds
Comparable games
Ultimate Epic Battle Simulator 2 2023 · $4.3M 
Motesolo : No Girlfriend Since Birth 2021 · $697k 
The Fermi Paradox 2021 · EA · $545k 
Paper Beast 2020 · $317k 
FEED THE AI 2026 · $100k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Ultimate Epic Battle Simulator 2 | older | $19.99 | 7,206 84% | 216k | $4.3M (exactly $4,321,438) | Brilliant Game Studios |
| | Motesolo : No Girlfriend Since Birth | older | $22.99 | 1,011 86% | 30k | $697k (exactly $697,287) | INDICAVA INTERACTIVE |
| | The Fermi Paradox | · EA older | $18.99 | 956 76% | 29k | $545k (exactly $544,633) | Anomaly Games |
| | Paper Beast | older | $19.99 | 529 94% | 16k | $317k (exactly $317,241) | Pixel Reef |
| | FEED THE AI | $5.99 | 557 90% | 17k | $100k (exactly $100,093) | Weird Kid Games | |
 | Paper Beast - Folded Edition | older | $16.99 | 195 85% | 5.9k | $99k (exactly $99,391) | Pixel Reef |
 | Hole Dweller | older | $7.99 | 260 96% | 7.8k | $62k (exactly $62,322) | Thigh High Games |
 | The Confession | older | $1.99 | 990 94% | 30k | $59k (exactly $59,103) | Randumb Studios |
 | Toy Trains | older | $14.99 | 89 95% | 2.7k | $40k (exactly $40,023) | Something Random |
 | Lost Angel | older | $19.99 | 43 58% | 1.3k | $26k (exactly $25,787) | Dolphin media, Intofeel Company |
 | Religion inc. | $4.99 | 128 72% | 3.8k | $19k (exactly $19,162) | GameFirst | |
 | Ages of Cataria | · EA | $9.99 | 16 68% | 480 | $4.8k (exactly $4,795) | Third Pie Studios |
 | Central Bank | $18.99 | 5 0% | 150 | $2.8k (exactly $2,848) | Nabiulina software, Jerome Powerr studi… (Nabiulina software, Jerome Powerr studio, Rusalka Unreal Labs) | |
 | Separium: 12th Elevator | $8.88 | 5 100% | 150 | $1.3k (exactly $1,332) | ptpearl | |
 | Diamond Painting | $7.99 | 4 75% | 120 | $959 (exactly $959) | LeiZna | |
 | Hi. | $0.99 | 19 100% | 570 | $564 (exactly $564) | The Breakfast Gentlemen | |
 | 9 MINUTES AND 59 SECONDS TO HEAVEN | $2.99 | 6 83% | 180 | $538 (exactly $538) | Fake Carbonara | |
 | Keyboard Simulator | $3.99 | 3 66% | 90 | $359 (exactly $359) | Arbothonas | |
 | 生计与沉冤 | $3.99 | 3 66% | 90 | $359 (exactly $359) | XGame游戏工作室 |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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