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Should I ship a Choose Your Own Adventure Destruction game?
Destruction + Choose Your Own Adventure
Only 10 developers shipped a Choose Your Own Adventure Destruction game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, The Strange City, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 22 more are announced, ×3.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $2.4k, ×3.8 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $450; 1 in 20 cleared $29k, ×47 the market median. Revenue is down 30% on the market; 22 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $450 (exactly $450) |
|---|---|
| Median | $2.4k (exactly $2,395) |
| Top 25% | $3.7k (exactly $3,748) |
| Top 5% | $29k (exactly $29,230) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 10 |
| Released games | 37 |
| Announced | 22 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $13.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 30% on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Destruction
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Choose Your Own Adventure
- effort 2 / 10 · high · branching text with light state
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Destruction, Choose Your Own Adventure
- Price point
- $13.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 8 games average 58% positive over 109 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $450. All of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 22 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.7 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Destruction with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Space SimFair
- + ModernFair
- + God GameFair
- + Hidden ObjectFair
- + Hack and SlashPoor odds
- + HistoricalPoor odds
- + CapitalismPoor odds
- + Online Co-OpPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + Automobile SimPoor odds
- + ManagementPoor odds
- + AutomationPoor odds
Comparable games
People Playground 2019 · $89M 
Regular Human Workshop 2022 · $360k 
Fictorum 2017 · $310k 
ACTION SANDBOX 2022 · $236k 
Jester / King 2021 · $41k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | People Playground | older | $9.99 | 298,158 98% | 8.9M | $89M (exactly $89,357,953) | mestiez |
| | Regular Human Workshop | older | $9.99 | 1,201 89% | 36k | $360k (exactly $359,940) | Dead Joker |
| | Fictorum | older | $9.99 | 1,034 78% | 31k | $310k (exactly $309,890) | Scraping Bottom Games |
| | ACTION SANDBOX | older | $9.99 | 787 73% | 24k | $236k (exactly $235,864) | Vona Soft |
| | Jester / King | older | $15.99 | 85 94% | 2.6k | $41k (exactly $40,774) | Rolling Crown |
 | The Strange City | $14.99 | 65 47% | 2.0k | $29k (exactly $29,230) | Newmatic Co., Ltd. | |
 | Ragdoll: Fall Simulator | older | $9.99 | 82 76% | 2.5k | $25k (exactly $24,575) | Andreev Worlds, Gamesforfarm |
 | PixPhys | · EA older | $3.99 | 193 73% | 5.8k | $23k (exactly $23,102) | Red Starship |
 | Loot Box Quest | older | $0.99 | 470 92% | 14k | $14k (exactly $13,959) | Going Loud Studios |
 | FortressCraft : Chapter 1 | older | $9.99 | 36 94% | 1.1k | $11k (exactly $10,789) | ProjectorGames |
 | Ragdoll Playground | $9.99 | 13 69% | 390 | $3.9k (exactly $3,896) | Paphnutius | |
 | Macht: Cosmic Engine | · EA | $24.99 | 5 80% | 150 | $3.7k (exactly $3,748) | Kestro Games |
 | Ravager - Moon-Friendly Edition | · EA | $19.99 | 4 100% | 120 | $2.4k (exactly $2,399) | 4MinuteWarning |
 | Aevalore | $4.99 | 16 81% | 480 | $2.4k (exactly $2,395) | Aevalore | |
 | The Boston Breeder | $12.99 | 4 25% | 120 | $1.6k (exactly $1,559) | LostWorks | |
 | The Legacy of Shadow's Bane TCG | $14.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $450 (exactly $450) | Omni-Games and Collectibles LLC | |
 | Year 2031 | $13.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $420 (exactly $420) | Cestmir Kocian | |
 | Only you | $4.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | worthless_ink | |
 | Chess Flicks | $0.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | JDL |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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