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Should I ship a Choices Matter God Game?
God Game + Choices Matter
Of 31 developers who shipped a Choices Matter God Game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 57 more are announced, ×2.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.3k, ×2.1 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $600; 1 in 20 cleared $150k, ×251 the market median. Revenue is up 30% on the market; 57 games are announced against 20 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $599 (exactly $599) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.3k (exactly $1,332) |
| Top 25% | $11k (exactly $10,793) |
| Top 5% | $158k (exactly $157,941) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 31 |
| Released games | 93 |
| Announced | 57 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 30% on the market, supply 80% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 3%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- God Game
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
- Choices Matter
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- God Game, Choices Matter; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Management, Strategy
- Price point
- $4.99 typical · top 25% priced $17.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Dialogue Heavy
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $17.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 78% positive over 2,274 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $600. 7 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 57 games are announced against 20 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.9 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
God Game with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + HistoricalFair
- + EconomyFair
- + PuzzleFair
- + Inventory ManagementFair
- + DestructionFair
- + DystopianFair
- + IdlerFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + ArcadeLong shot
- + Farming SimLong shot
- + AgricultureLong shot
- + Base BuildingPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Motesolo : No Girlfriend Since Birth | older | $22.99 | 1,011 86% | 30k | $697k (exactly $697,287) | INDICAVA INTERACTIVE |
| | The Fermi Paradox | · EA older | $18.99 | 956 76% | 29k | $545k (exactly $544,633) | Anomaly Games |
| | TasteMaker | older | $11.99 | 1,249 83% | 37k | $449k (exactly $449,265) | Jelle Booij |
| | Fata Deum - The God Sim | · EA | $29.99 | 410 59% | 12k | $369k (exactly $368,877) | 42 Bits Entertainment |
| | GolfTopia | older | $19.99 | 477 95% | 14k | $286k (exactly $286,057) | MinMax Games Ltd. |
| | Sinner Maker | · EA | $9.66 | 545 91% | 16k | $158k (exactly $157,941) | Pantokrator |
| | Rogue AI Simulator | older | $11.99 | 364 82% | 11k | $131k (exactly $130,931) | Nerdook Productions |
| | Technotopia | $4.99 | 599 86% | 18k | $90k (exactly $89,670) | Yustas | |
| | 吾皇万岁 | $4.99 | 422 68% | 13k | $63k (exactly $63,173) | AI GAME STUDIO | |
| | The Confession | older | $1.99 | 990 94% | 30k | $59k (exactly $59,103) | Randumb Studios |
| | Decade | $9.99 | 129 96% | 3.9k | $39k (exactly $38,661) | Last Piscean | |
| | The Fool's Apprentice | $16.99 | 42 52% | 1.3k | $21k (exactly $21,407) | The Planar Danse | |
| | Governance | · EA | $17.99 | 33 66% | 990 | $18k (exactly $17,810) | Governance Studios |
| | Football Fictional World Simulator | $14.99 | 24 75% | 720 | $11k (exactly $10,793) | keigo0221 | |
| | Karma Keepers | $4.99 | 52 69% | 1.6k | $7.8k (exactly $7,784) | yonazdev | |
| | ORACLE: Humanity, Automated | · EA | $9.99 | 18 44% | 540 | $5.4k (exactly $5,395) | ZANKYO GAMES |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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