Do I ship it?

GamesEconomyEconomy + Cats

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Cat Economy game?

Economy + Cats

Of 36 developers who shipped a Cat Economy game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 45 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.5k, ×4.1 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $120; 1 in 20 cleared $170k, ×279 the market median. Revenue is down 90% on the market; 45 games are announced against 26 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.1 times the market baseline, revenue down 90% on the market, 45 announced, ×1.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Economy + Cats
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 36
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $14k → $5.1k → $18k → $2.8k (still earning) → $299 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Economy + Cats: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 36
Bottom 30% $119 (exactly $119)
Median $2.5k (exactly $2,545)
Top 25% $25k (exactly $24,875)
Top 5% $175k (exactly $175,383)
Developers, 2 yr 36
Released games 63
Announced 45
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 90% on the market, supply 160% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Economy
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Cats
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Economy; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Management, Building
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
7 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Cozy, Relaxing, Cute
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 4,633 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $2.5k, 1 in 4 over $24k, 1 in 20 over $170k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 6 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 45 games are announced against 26 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Economy with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorFair116 devs · median $22k · 125 announced
  2. + Football (Soccer)Fair21 devs · median $6.8k · 29 announced
  3. + ScienceFair39 devs · median $5.9k · 39 announced
  4. + MiningFair116 devs · median $5.0k · 173 announced
  5. + LootFair74 devs · median $4.6k · 114 announced
  6. + CollectathonFair125 devs · median $3.8k · 151 announced
  7. + God GameFair47 devs · median $2.8k · 58 announced
  8. + Auto BattlerFair59 devs · median $2.4k · 79 announced
  9. + IdlerFair441 devs · median $2.3k · 589 announced
  10. + IncrementalFair408 devs · median $2.2k · 612 announced
  11. + ArcadeFair199 devs · median $2.1k · 285 announced
  12. + Strategy RPGFair95 devs · median $2.0k · 128 announced

All 161 pairs on the Economy page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Bookshop Simulator $15.99 1,496 92% 45k $718k (exactly $717,631) Blep Games
Learning Factory $14.99 390 84% 12k $175k (exactly $175,383) Luden.io
Captain Whiskers: Incremental Seas $5.99 886 85% 27k $159k (exactly $159,214) Happy Universe Studios
Cozy Keep: Farm, Craft, Manage · EA $14.99 315 93% 9.5k $142k (exactly $141,656) Unbossed Games
Gacha Capsule Shop Simulator - Akihabara · EA $12.40 379 82% 11k $141k (exactly $140,988) UGC90
Teller's Duty $11.99 388 72% 12k $140k (exactly $139,564) Hiscory
Chonkers $4.99 518 87% 16k $78k (exactly $77,545) Solar Eclipse Games
MilkTea Time $11.99 114 82% 3.4k $41k (exactly $41,006) 星九猫游戏-StarNineCat Games
Internet Cafe Owner older $5.99 148 72% 4.4k $27k (exactly $26,596) GidAzGames
Desktop Cat Cafe $9.99 83 75% 2.5k $25k (exactly $24,875) samyam, lockyaw
PurrPlate $9.99 64 68% 1.9k $19k (exactly $19,181) LeankomGames

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.