Do I ship it?

GamesParty GameParty Game + Card Game

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Card Game Party Game?

Party Game + Card Game

Of 59 developers who shipped a Card Game Party Game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 83 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $600, ×1.3 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $60; 1 in 20 cleared $97k, ×205 the market median. Revenue is down 80% on the market; 83 games are announced against 51 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 80% on the market, 83 announced, ×1.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Party Game + Card Game
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 59
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $6.5k → $4.8k → $899 → $1.2k (still earning) → $60 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Party Game + Card Game: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 59
Bottom 30% $60 (exactly $60)
Median $599 (exactly $599)
Top 25% $4.8k (exactly $4,795)
Top 5% $97k (exactly $97,425)
Developers, 2 yr 59
Released games 93
Announced 83
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 80% on the market, supply 540% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 20%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Party Game
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Card Game
effort 2 / 10 · high · rules engine and card data

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Party Game, Card Game; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, PvP, Board Game
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $11.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Funny, 3D, Comedy
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $11.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 83% positive over 2,736 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $60, median $600, 1 in 4 over $4.7k, 1 in 20 over $97k.

3 in 10 developers made under $60. All of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 83 games are announced against 51 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Party Game with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Board GameFair72 devs · median $899 · 98 announced
  2. + RhythmFair11 devs · median $802 · 19 announced
  3. + DeckbuildingFair22 devs · median $719 · 30 announced
  4. + Card BattlerFair28 devs · median $449 · 35 announced
  5. + MinigamesPoor odds28 devs · median $4.0k · 66 announced
  6. + RoguelitePoor odds22 devs · median $2.7k · 68 announced
  7. + RoguelikePoor odds16 devs · median $2.7k · 51 announced
  8. + Vehicular CombatPoor odds14 devs · median $2.4k · 45 announced
  9. + DestructionPoor odds13 devs · median $1.8k · 79 announced
  10. + DrivingPoor odds28 devs · median $1.7k · 60 announced
  11. + SurvivalPoor odds55 devs · median $1.3k · 135 announced
  12. + HorrorPoor odds61 devs · median $1.3k · 144 announced

All 95 pairs on the Party Game page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
UNO older $9.99 42,019 70% 1.3M $13M (exactly $12,593,094) Ubisoft Entertainment
ROUNDS older $5.99 35,738 95% 1.1M $6.4M (exactly $6,422,119) Landfall
Youtubers Life 3 $19.99 468 50% 14k $281k (exactly $280,660) UPLAY Online
Bogos Binted? $5.49 1,134 91% 34k $187k (exactly $186,770) underbadger
Exploding Kittens® 2 older $12.49 447 75% 13k $167k (exactly $167,491) Marmalade Game Studio Ltd
Abra-Cooking-Dabra $12.99 250 75% 7.5k $97k (exactly $97,425) Door 407
MACHI KORO With Everyone older $24.99 119 66% 3.6k $89k (exactly $89,214) Grounding Inc.
Capote $5.99 397 97% 12k $71k (exactly $71,341) Luski Game Studio
RiffTrax: The Game older $9.99 219 91% 6.6k $66k (exactly $65,634) Wide Right Interactive, Mark Zorn, Kurt… (Wide Right Interactive, Mark Zorn, Kurt Wojda)
Awkward older $11.99 90 72% 2.7k $32k (exactly $32,373) Snap Finger Click
Spider Roulette $4.99 143 91% 4.3k $21k (exactly $21,407) Kud
One Last Hand $6.99 86 70% 2.6k $18k (exactly $18,034) Fire Brick Games
Gnaughty Gnomes $7.99 71 100% 2.1k $17k (exactly $17,019) SandCastles Studio
Cheater's Table · EA $6.99 69 95% 2.1k $14k (exactly $14,469) Lagari
Duo Quest $14.99 26 65% 780 $12k (exactly $11,692) 1+1 Studios
S.A.L.A.M.E. $3.99 92 95% 2.8k $11k (exactly $11,012) LTP Argentina

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.