Do I ship it?

GamesParty GameParty Game + Bullet Hell

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Bullet Hell Party Game?

Party Game + Bullet Hell

Of 20 developers who shipped a Bullet Hell Party Game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 31 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $160 in the last 2 years and $300 over 4, against a market of $480 for a 4 / 10 build. 16 developers shipped in the last year and 31 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 90% on the market, 31 announced, ×1.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Party Game + Bullet Hell
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 20
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.2k → $2.7k → $748 (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Party Game + Bullet Hell: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 20
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $158 (exactly $158)
Top 25% $2.7k (exactly $2,691)
Top 5% $143k (exactly $142,941)
Developers, 2 yr 20
Released games 34
Announced 31
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 90% on the market, supply 300% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Party Game
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Bullet Hell
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Party Game, Bullet Hell; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Action Roguelike, Roguelite
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $7.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Cute, 2D, Family Friendly
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $7.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 90% positive over 745 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $160, 1 in 4 over $2.6k, 1 in 20 over $140k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 31 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Party Game with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Board GameFair72 devs · median $899 · 98 announced
  2. + RhythmFair11 devs · median $802 · 19 announced
  3. + DeckbuildingFair22 devs · median $719 · 30 announced
  4. + Card BattlerFair28 devs · median $449 · 35 announced
  5. + MinigamesPoor odds28 devs · median $4.0k · 66 announced
  6. + RoguelitePoor odds22 devs · median $2.7k · 68 announced
  7. + RoguelikePoor odds16 devs · median $2.7k · 51 announced
  8. + Vehicular CombatPoor odds14 devs · median $2.4k · 45 announced
  9. + DestructionPoor odds13 devs · median $1.8k · 79 announced
  10. + DrivingPoor odds28 devs · median $1.7k · 60 announced
  11. + SurvivalPoor odds55 devs · median $1.3k · 135 announced
  12. + HorrorPoor odds61 devs · median $1.3k · 144 announced

All 95 pairs on the Party Game page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
DunHero $8.99 530 89% 16k $143k (exactly $142,941) Dev Kacper
INVERSUS Deluxe older $14.99 271 88% 8.1k $122k (exactly $121,869) Hypersect
Gnaughty Gnomes $7.99 71 100% 2.1k $17k (exactly $17,019) SandCastles Studio
5 Minute Raid $4.99 53 90% 1.6k $7.9k (exactly $7,934) MoMong
YGGDRA: SURVIVOR $4.99 34 79% 1.0k $5.1k (exactly $5,090) BD
Checkmate Kings older $9.99 16 75% 480 $4.8k (exactly $4,795) Monka Studios
Blockships · EA older $6.99 16 93% 480 $3.4k (exactly $3,355) Dr Davient
Catnight older $4.99 21 76% 630 $3.1k (exactly $3,144) Rubber Croc
Dino-Ducks Dash $2.99 30 96% 900 $2.7k (exactly $2,691) Duckosaurus Games
Rocket Wars older $0.99 76 86% 2.3k $2.3k (exactly $2,257) Rooftop Panda
Chaotic Cats $3.99 12 100% 360 $1.4k (exactly $1,436) Headbounce
MusicHell · EA $4.99 7 100% 210 $1.0k (exactly $1,048) Sindruid
DEFENSORES DEL BARRIO $4.99 5 80% 150 $748 (exactly $748) PERNICH MEDIA
Hell of a Bullet · EA $4.99 2 100% 60 $299 (exactly $299) Headless Game Studio
Synergy Strike $5.25 1 100% 30 $158 (exactly $158) strangeboltz

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.