Do I ship it?

GamesDestructionDestruction + Boomer Shooter

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Boomer Shooter Destruction game?

Destruction + Boomer Shooter

Only 19 developers shipped a Boomer Shooter Destruction game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Project Absentia, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 27 more are announced, ×2.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.7k, ×2.7 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $360; 1 in 20 cleared $42k, ×68 the market median. Revenue is down 80% on the market; 27 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.7 times the market baseline, revenue down 80% on the market, 27 announced, ×2.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Destruction + Boomer Shooter
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 19
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $12k → $11k → $2.4k → $359 (still earning) → $150 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Destruction + Boomer Shooter: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 19
Bottom 30% $359 (exactly $359)
Median $1.7k (exactly $1,709)
Top 25% $11k (exactly $10,795)
Top 5% $43k (exactly $42,579)
Developers, 2 yr 19
Released games 28
Announced 27
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 80% on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Destruction
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Boomer Shooter
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Destruction, Boomer Shooter; all of the top 25% also carry Action, FPS, Shooter
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, Retro, 1990's
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 458 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $360, median $1.7k, 1 in 4 over $10k, 1 in 20 over $42k.

3 in 10 developers made under $360. 8 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 27 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Destruction with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Space SimFair14 devs · median $3.7k · 22 announced
  2. + ModernFair26 devs · median $1.6k · 28 announced
  3. + God GameFair19 devs · median $899 · 20 announced
  4. + Hidden ObjectFair9 devs · median $719 · 14 announced
  5. + Hack and SlashPoor odds19 devs · median $43k · 57 announced
  6. + HistoricalPoor odds15 devs · median $26k · 22 announced
  7. + CapitalismPoor odds17 devs · median $15k · 46 announced
  8. + Online Co-OpPoor odds37 devs · median $13k · 102 announced
  9. + Co-opPoor odds50 devs · median $11k · 113 announced
  10. + Automobile SimPoor odds22 devs · median $9.0k · 44 announced
  11. + ManagementPoor odds36 devs · median $6.1k · 129 announced
  12. + AutomationPoor odds22 devs · median $6.0k · 46 announced

All 139 pairs on the Destruction page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Trepang2 older $39.99 15,774 93% 473k $19M (exactly $18,924,068) Trepang Studios
Red Faction older $9.99 2,421 85% 73k $726k (exactly $725,574) Volition
Chop Goblins older $4.99 2,881 97% 86k $431k (exactly $431,286) David Szymanski
ARKOS older $9.99 179 78% 5.4k $54k (exactly $53,646) RetroSouls
Project Absentia $19.99 71 95% 2.1k $43k (exactly $42,579) Waffle Iron Studios
ARKOS 2 $12.99 34 91% 1.0k $13k (exactly $13,250) RetroSouls
Chains of Fury older $9.99 44 31% 1.3k $13k (exactly $13,187) Cobble Games
Ultra Cop $1.99 195 89% 5.9k $12k (exactly $11,642) JG Roos
Spaceflux $4.99 73 57% 2.2k $11k (exactly $10,928) Calin Ardelean
Exovoid Carnage $19.99 18 94% 540 $11k (exactly $10,795) Man Up Time, LLC
Galactic Outlaws $8.99 22 95% 660 $5.9k (exactly $5,933) Square Wheel
DOOM SPIRAL $9.99 10 100% 300 $3.0k (exactly $2,997) Forbidden Saucery
ULTIMATE ARMORED TURBODRIFTER ~ SaGa Chapter 2 ~【TANK AUTHORITY WOLFRAM】 $4.99 16 100% 480 $2.4k (exactly $2,395) The Dark Union
HEAVENSHATTER $4.99 16 93% 480 $2.4k (exactly $2,395) Raifu
Under Destruction · EA $18.99 3 66% 90 $1.7k (exactly $1,709) Quantum Dynamics

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.