Do I ship it?

GamesTanksTanks + Board Game

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Board Game Tank game?

Tanks + Board Game

Only 8 developers shipped a Board Game Tank game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Neuroshima Hex, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 3 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $2.5k against a market of $630. 3 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 4.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 415% on the market, 3 announced, ×0.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Tanks + Board Game
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 8

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Tanks + Board Game: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 8
Bottom 30% $120 (exactly $120)
Median $2.5k (exactly $2,516)
Top 25% $27k (exactly $26,863)
Top 5% $28k (exactly $27,872)
Developers, 2 yr 8
Released games 33
Announced 3
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 415% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Tanks
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Board Game
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Tanks, Board Game
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $34.99 or above; the middle game at $14.99.

The top 10 games average 80% positive over 4,640 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $2.5k, 1 in 4 over $26k, 1 in 20 over $27k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 3 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Tanks with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + HistoricalFair25 devs · median $5.4k · 26 announced
  2. + Turn-Based StrategyFair25 devs · median $3.0k · 24 announced
  3. + Turn-Based TacticsFair24 devs · median $3.0k · 24 announced
  4. + Tower DefenseFair14 devs · median $1.5k · 13 announced
  5. + Open WorldFair9 devs · median $1.3k · 11 announced
  6. + 2D PlatformerFair11 devs · median $599 · 11 announced
  7. + Online Co-OpPoor odds10 devs · median $16k · 26 announced
  8. + RPGPoor odds13 devs · median $14k · 8 announced
  9. + Turn-Based CombatPoor odds18 devs · median $7.2k · 23 announced
  10. + Action RTSPoor odds12 devs · median $4.0k · 19 announced
  11. + Real Time TacticsPoor odds22 devs · median $3.2k · 38 announced
  12. + TacticalPoor odds49 devs · median $2.5k · 85 announced

All 71 pairs on the Tanks page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Line War older $24.99 1,076 80% 32k $807k (exactly $806,677) Studio Centurion
Hex of Steel older $24.99 863 95% 26k $647k (exactly $646,991) War Frogs Studio
Second Front older $34.99 613 78% 18k $643k (exactly $643,466) Hexdraw
Headquarters: World War II older $39.99 508 74% 15k $609k (exactly $609,448) Starni Games
Strategic Mind: Blitzkrieg older $39.99 442 84% 13k $530k (exactly $530,267) Starni Games
Panzer Strategy older $29.99 437 64% 13k $393k (exactly $393,169) Starni Games
Strategic Mind: Spectre of Communism older $29.99 193 78% 5.8k $174k (exactly $173,642) Starni Games
Ogre older $24.99 223 66% 6.7k $167k (exactly $167,183) Auroch Digital
Strategic Mind: Fight for Freedom older $29.99 122 86% 3.7k $110k (exactly $109,763) Starni Games
Valor & Victory older $19.99 163 69% 4.9k $98k (exactly $97,751) Yobowargames
Neuroshima Hex $9.99 93 72% 2.8k $28k (exactly $27,872) Baked Games
Tactical Annihilation $15.99 56 98% 1.7k $27k (exactly $26,863) B.G. Game Studio
Cold War Battles $19.99 12 91% 360 $7.2k (exactly $7,196) Kudos Games
Panzer Commander $6.99 12 100% 360 $2.5k (exactly $2,516) Fancing Game Studio
Toon Troops Strategy $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) New Angle Digital
War War $3.99 1 100% 30 $120 (exactly $120) Verto Studio LLC
Mother Of All Battles $9.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Sean O'Connor
Milichess $9.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Prairieville Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.