Do I ship it?

GamesAutomationAutomation + RPG

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Automation RPG?

Automation + RPG

Of 154 developers who shipped an Automation RPG in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 253 more are announced, ×2.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $5.1k, ×8.1 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $900; 1 in 20 cleared $370k, ×589 the market median. Revenue is up 175% on the market; 253 games are announced against 104 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 8.1 times the market baseline, revenue up 175% on the market, 253 announced, ×2.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Automation + RPG
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 154
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $4.2k → $7.2k → $12k → $11k → $1.9k → $16k → $6.8k (still earning) → $3.2k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Automation + RPG: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 154
Bottom 30% $898 (exactly $898)
Median $5.1k (exactly $5,074)
Top 25% $41k (exactly $41,467)
Top 5% $370k (exactly $370,028)
Developers, 2 yr 154
Released games 278
Announced 253
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 175% on the market, supply 100% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Automation
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
RPG
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Automation, RPG; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Idler, Simulation
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 94% positive over 451,257 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $900, median $5.1k, 1 in 4 over $41k, 1 in 20 over $370k.

3 in 10 developers made under $900. 7 in 10 of the 63 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 253 games are announced against 104 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Automation with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorStrong odds36 devs · median $57k · 31 announced
  2. + Female ProtagonistStrong odds27 devs · median $4.5k · 32 announced
  3. + Open World Survival CraftFair28 devs · median $307k · 37 announced
  4. + HorrorFair19 devs · median $8.0k · 29 announced
  5. + HistoricalFair26 devs · median $7.9k · 24 announced
  6. + UndergroundFair20 devs · median $7.4k · 32 announced
  7. + Class-BasedFair19 devs · median $6.6k · 22 announced
  8. + MiningFair105 devs · median $4.9k · 164 announced
  9. + Auto BattlerFair112 devs · median $4.5k · 153 announced
  10. + ProgrammingFair84 devs · median $3.8k · 102 announced
  11. + FishingFair40 devs · median $3.4k · 46 announced
  12. + Turn-Based TacticsFair28 devs · median $2.9k · 36 announced

All 135 pairs on the Automation page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Palworld $29.99 411,947 94% 12M $371M (exactly $370,628,716) Pocketpair
Craftopia · EA older $24.99 17,705 76% 531k $13M (exactly $13,273,438) Pocketpair
Necesse $14.99 24,425 93% 733k $11M (exactly $10,983,922) Fair Games ApS
Melvor Idle older $9.99 14,630 90% 439k $4.4M (exactly $4,384,611) Games by Malcs
Sandustry · EA $14.99 4,805 97% 144k $2.2M (exactly $2,160,808) Lantto Games
Hammerting older $24.99 1,733 57% 52k $1.3M (exactly $1,299,230) Warpzone Studios
FortressCraft Evolved! older $12.99 2,653 72% 80k $1.0M (exactly $1,033,874) ProjectorGames
Return from Core $16.99 1,620 75% 49k $826k (exactly $825,714) 顽核社 FuncoreClub
Little Rocket Lab $19.99 1,286 90% 39k $771k (exactly $771,214) Teenage Astronauts
Cavalry Girls older $11.99 1,877 88% 56k $675k (exactly $675,157) 中子星游戏研究所
Crusaders Quest : Hero Town $6.99 2,564 76% 77k $538k (exactly $537,671) CQ LABS
Omega Crafter $24.99 529 77% 16k $397k (exactly $396,591) Preferred Networks
Loot of Baal $8.99 1,372 62% 41k $370k (exactly $370,028) Gleamer Studio
Path of Idle: Old Gods Rising $9.99 1,160 77% 35k $348k (exactly $347,652) Small Mill, Small Mill
Forage Wizard $6.99 1,549 87% 46k $325k (exactly $324,825) Lost Maxim

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.