Do I ship it?

GamesAutomationAutomation + Modern

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Modern-Day Automation game?

Automation + Modern

Of 30 developers who shipped a Modern-Day Automation game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 29 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.3k, ×2.1 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $810. Revenue is down 10% on the market; 29 games are announced against 22 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.1 times the market baseline, revenue down 10% on the market, 29 announced, ×1.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Automation + Modern
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 30
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $49k → $3.0k → $6.1k → $26k → $358 → $3.6k (still earning) → $809 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Automation + Modern: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 30
Bottom 30% $807 (exactly $807)
Median $1.3k (exactly $1,317)
Top 25% $12k (exactly $11,988)
Top 5% $379k (exactly $379,348)
Developers, 2 yr 30
Released games 59
Announced 29
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.49

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 10% on the market, supply 175% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Automation
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Modern
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Automation; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Management, Simulation, Immersive Sim
Price point
$5.49 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, First-Person, Realistic
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $5.49.

The top 10 games average 73% positive over 14,923 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $810, median $1.3k, 1 in 4 over $11k, 1 in 20 over $370k.

3 in 10 developers made under $810. 7 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 29 games are announced against 22 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Automation with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorStrong odds36 devs · median $57k · 31 announced
  2. + Female ProtagonistStrong odds27 devs · median $4.5k · 32 announced
  3. + Open World Survival CraftFair28 devs · median $307k · 37 announced
  4. + HorrorFair19 devs · median $8.0k · 29 announced
  5. + HistoricalFair26 devs · median $7.9k · 24 announced
  6. + UndergroundFair20 devs · median $7.4k · 32 announced
  7. + Class-BasedFair19 devs · median $6.6k · 22 announced
  8. + MiningFair105 devs · median $4.9k · 164 announced
  9. + Auto BattlerFair112 devs · median $4.5k · 153 announced
  10. + ProgrammingFair84 devs · median $3.8k · 102 announced
  11. + FishingFair40 devs · median $3.4k · 46 announced
  12. + Turn-Based TacticsFair28 devs · median $2.9k · 36 announced

All 135 pairs on the Automation page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
RoadCraft $39.99 13,527 74% 406k $16M (exactly $16,228,342) Saber Interactive
InfraSpace older $24.99 1,638 82% 49k $1.2M (exactly $1,228,009) Dionic Software
Industry Giant 4.0 $24.99 506 33% 15k $379k (exactly $379,348) Don VS Dodo
Transport INC older $11.99 1,014 69% 30k $365k (exactly $364,736) DIGIFOX
SeaOrama: World of Shipping older $19.99 382 58% 11k $229k (exactly $229,085) Hidden Tower, SeaOrama
A=B older $4.99 908 94% 27k $136k (exactly $135,928) Artless Games
Technicity older $17.99 200 75% 6.0k $108k (exactly $107,940) Osaris Games
Check Inn $14.99 197 84% 5.9k $89k (exactly $88,591) KishMish Games
Pumping Simulator older $4.99 479 71% 14k $72k (exactly $71,706) Lance Games
Blind Box Shop Simulator $9.99 218 87% 6.5k $65k (exactly $65,335) NovaraGames
Vending Dokan!: Kozy Kiosk · EA $11.99 150 90% 4.5k $54k (exactly $53,955) Aftabi Games
Laundry & Supermarket Simulator $9.99 86 77% 2.6k $26k (exactly $25,774) SmartPlayGames
Barman Simulator $9.99 52 65% 1.6k $16k (exactly $15,584) VirtualMind
PC Store Simulator $9.99 40 35% 1.2k $12k (exactly $11,988) CS Forge
Paperwork $3.99 92 95% 2.8k $11k (exactly $11,012) Broken Record Studio
AI Faith: Compute [>_AIFC] $4.99 55 81% 1.7k $8.2k (exactly $8,234) Beneloop.ai

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.