Do I ship it?

GamesAutomationAutomation + Futuristic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Futuristic Automation game?

Automation + Futuristic

Of 70 developers who shipped a Futuristic Automation game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 142 more are announced, ×3.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.5k, ×2.4 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $540; 1 in 20 cleared $450k, ×732 the market median. Revenue is up 75% on the market; 142 games are announced against 48 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 75% on the market, 142 announced, ×3.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Automation + Futuristic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 70
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.4k → $1.2k → $1.5k → $4.0k → $1.2k → $1.7k → $1.8k (still earning) → $1.0k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Automation + Futuristic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 70
Bottom 30% $538 (exactly $538)
Median $1.5k (exactly $1,497)
Top 25% $16k (exactly $16,484)
Top 5% $460k (exactly $459,748)
Developers, 2 yr 70
Released games 139
Announced 142
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 75% on the market, supply 120% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Automation
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Futuristic
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Automation; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Strategy, Base Building
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 93% positive over 18,011 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $540, median $1.5k, 1 in 4 over $16k, 1 in 20 over $450k.

3 in 10 developers made under $540. 7 in 10 of the 30 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 142 games are announced against 48 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Automation with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorStrong odds36 devs · median $57k · 31 announced
  2. + Female ProtagonistStrong odds27 devs · median $4.5k · 32 announced
  3. + Open World Survival CraftFair28 devs · median $307k · 37 announced
  4. + HorrorFair19 devs · median $8.0k · 29 announced
  5. + HistoricalFair26 devs · median $7.9k · 24 announced
  6. + UndergroundFair20 devs · median $7.4k · 32 announced
  7. + Class-BasedFair19 devs · median $6.6k · 22 announced
  8. + MiningFair105 devs · median $4.9k · 164 announced
  9. + Auto BattlerFair112 devs · median $4.5k · 153 announced
  10. + ProgrammingFair84 devs · median $3.8k · 102 announced
  11. + FishingFair40 devs · median $3.4k · 46 announced
  12. + Turn-Based TacticsFair28 devs · median $2.9k · 36 announced

All 135 pairs on the Automation page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
shapez 2 - Factory $29.99 13,846 96% 415k $12M (exactly $12,457,246) tobspr Games
Taur older $24.99 2,011 79% 60k $1.5M (exactly $1,507,647) Echo Entertainment
Modulus: Factory Automation $24.99 817 90% 25k $613k (exactly $612,505) Happy Volcano
Microtopia $19.99 881 87% 26k $528k (exactly $528,336) Cordyceps Collective
Grand Emprise: Time Travel Survival older $19.99 807 69% 24k $484k (exactly $483,958) Tbjbu2
Outworld Station $18.99 807 84% 24k $460k (exactly $459,748) Trickjump Games Ltd
The Signal State older $19.99 649 86% 19k $389k (exactly $389,205) Reckoner Industries
Mech Mechanic Simulator older $19.99 538 61% 16k $323k (exactly $322,639) Polyslash
JUNKPUNK · EA older $15.99 641 60% 19k $307k (exactly $307,488) SCT
GolfTopia older $19.99 477 95% 14k $286k (exactly $286,057) MinMax Games Ltd.
Industrial Annihilation · EA $29.99 206 27% 6.2k $185k (exactly $185,338) Galactic Annihilation
Widget Inc. $4.99 761 84% 23k $114k (exactly $113,922) Leaping Turtle
U.V.S. Nirmana $14.99 213 88% 6.4k $96k (exactly $95,786) Coincidence
Kentum $17.99 172 75% 5.2k $93k (exactly $92,828) Tlön Industries
MegaFactory Titan $19.99 150 76% 4.5k $90k (exactly $89,955) Q Switched Productions, LLC
Chipmatic $11.99 158 65% 4.7k $57k (exactly $56,833) Molter

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.