Do I ship it?

GamesAutomationAutomation + Cooking

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Cooking Automation game?

Automation + Cooking

Of 39 developers who shipped a Cooking Automation game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 86 more are announced, ×3.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.9k, ×4.6 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $480; 1 in 20 cleared $420k, ×680 the market median. Revenue is down 35% on the market; 86 games are announced against 29 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.6 times the market baseline, revenue down 35% on the market, 86 announced, ×3.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Automation + Cooking
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 39
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $7.2k → $7.5k → $23k → $9.9k (still earning) → $1.5k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Automation + Cooking: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 39
Bottom 30% $478 (exactly $478)
Median $2.9k (exactly $2,873)
Top 25% $23k (exactly $23,079)
Top 5% $427k (exactly $426,765)
Developers, 2 yr 39
Released games 68
Announced 86
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 35% on the market, supply 190% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Automation
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Cooking
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Automation, Cooking; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Building, Simulation, Crafting
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 4,245 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $480, median $2.9k, 1 in 4 over $23k, 1 in 20 over $420k.

3 in 10 developers made under $480. 8 in 10 of the 13 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 86 games are announced against 29 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Automation with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorStrong odds36 devs · median $57k · 31 announced
  2. + Female ProtagonistStrong odds27 devs · median $4.5k · 32 announced
  3. + Open World Survival CraftFair28 devs · median $307k · 37 announced
  4. + HorrorFair19 devs · median $8.0k · 29 announced
  5. + HistoricalFair26 devs · median $7.9k · 24 announced
  6. + UndergroundFair20 devs · median $7.4k · 32 announced
  7. + Class-BasedFair19 devs · median $6.6k · 22 announced
  8. + MiningFair105 devs · median $4.9k · 164 announced
  9. + Auto BattlerFair112 devs · median $4.5k · 153 announced
  10. + ProgrammingFair84 devs · median $3.8k · 102 announced
  11. + FishingFair40 devs · median $3.4k · 46 announced
  12. + Turn-Based TacticsFair28 devs · median $2.9k · 36 announced

All 135 pairs on the Automation page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Alaska Gold Fever $16.99 959 79% 29k $489k (exactly $488,802) Baked Games
OxyRail · EA $14.99 949 80% 28k $427k (exactly $426,765) OxygenTech Limited
Farm to Table · EA $14.99 645 91% 19k $290k (exactly $290,056) indieGiant
Recipe for Disaster older $14.99 591 69% 18k $266k (exactly $265,773) Dapper Penguin Studios
Automachef older $14.99 522 75% 16k $235k (exactly $234,743) Rhombico Games
Pizza House Simulator🍕 $12.99 411 87% 12k $160k (exactly $160,167) Broken Lyre Entertainment, Wendigo Games
Bone's Cafe older $14.99 340 96% 10k $153k (exactly $152,898) Acute Owl Studio
Not Monday Cafe $8.99 539 94% 16k $145k (exactly $145,368) Sunny Syrup Studio
Kitchen Crisis older $14.99 311 74% 9.3k $140k (exactly $139,857) Team Samoyed
Moonshine Inc. older $19.99 177 61% 5.3k $106k (exactly $106,147) Klabater
Kentum $17.99 172 75% 5.2k $93k (exactly $92,828) Tlön Industries
My Little Cafe Nightmare $8.99 210 90% 6.3k $57k (exactly $56,637) SethMadDev
Snacktorio $7.99 215 90% 6.5k $52k (exactly $51,536) ellraiser
Node Farm $11.99 75 81% 2.3k $27k (exactly $26,978) ByerN
Faun Town $10.99 70 68% 2.1k $23k (exactly $23,079) 游乐坊

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.