Do I ship it?

GamesAutomationAutomation + Collectathon

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Collectathon Automation game?

Automation + Collectathon

Of 87 developers who shipped a Collectathon Automation game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 87 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.3k, ×3.7 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $480; 1 in 20 cleared $140k, ×225 the market median. Revenue is down 55% on the market; 87 games are announced against 56 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.7 times the market baseline, revenue down 55% on the market, 87 announced, ×1.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Automation + Collectathon
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 87
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $9.1k → $7.2k → $10k → $2.8k → $4.5k → $1.3k (still earning) → $628 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Automation + Collectathon: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 87
Bottom 30% $479 (exactly $479)
Median $2.3k (exactly $2,307)
Top 25% $16k (exactly $15,634)
Top 5% $141k (exactly $140,988)
Developers, 2 yr 87
Released games 130
Announced 87
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 55% on the market, supply 75% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Automation
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Collectathon
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Automation, Collectathon; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Management, Idler
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Relaxing, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 7,275 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $480, median $2.3k, 1 in 4 over $15k, 1 in 20 over $140k.

3 in 10 developers made under $480. 7 in 10 of the 37 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 87 games are announced against 56 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Automation with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorStrong odds36 devs · median $57k · 31 announced
  2. + Female ProtagonistStrong odds27 devs · median $4.5k · 32 announced
  3. + Open World Survival CraftFair28 devs · median $307k · 37 announced
  4. + HorrorFair19 devs · median $8.0k · 29 announced
  5. + HistoricalFair26 devs · median $7.9k · 24 announced
  6. + UndergroundFair20 devs · median $7.4k · 32 announced
  7. + Class-BasedFair19 devs · median $6.6k · 22 announced
  8. + MiningFair105 devs · median $4.9k · 164 announced
  9. + Auto BattlerFair112 devs · median $4.5k · 153 announced
  10. + ProgrammingFair84 devs · median $3.8k · 102 announced
  11. + FishingFair40 devs · median $3.4k · 46 announced
  12. + Turn-Based TacticsFair28 devs · median $2.9k · 36 announced

All 135 pairs on the Automation page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
SimplePlanes older $12.99 9,811 93% 294k $3.8M (exactly $3,823,347) Jundroo, LLC
Star Birds · EA $19.99 2,990 92% 90k $1.8M (exactly $1,793,103) Toukana Interactive
Outpath older $14.99 2,898 92% 87k $1.3M (exactly $1,303,231) David Moralejo Sánchez
Astronomics · EA $19.99 706 89% 21k $423k (exactly $423,388) Numizmatic
Plantera older $2.99 4,518 88% 136k $405k (exactly $405,265) VaragtP
Farming & Supermarket Simulator $11.99 835 79% 25k $300k (exactly $300,350) EY08 Games
Tabletop Game Shop Simulator $12.99 480 84% 14k $187k (exactly $187,056) Ludogram, Knight Fever Games
Plantera 2: Golden Acorn older $4.99 1,191 93% 36k $178k (exactly $178,293) VaragtP
Gacha Capsule Shop Simulator - Akihabara · EA $12.40 379 82% 11k $141k (exactly $140,988) UGC90
Diggin $6.99 635 80% 19k $133k (exactly $133,160) Longshot Studio
Arcane Merchant $14.99 280 84% 8.4k $126k (exactly $125,916) Findie Studios
Cultivation Magic World · EA $12.99 276 78% 8.3k $108k (exactly $107,557) DMG Studio
Desk Paws $5.99 463 86% 14k $83k (exactly $83,201) GinkgoGames
LORED · EA $9.99 231 80% 6.9k $69k (exactly $69,231) Dillon Simpson

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.