Do I ship it?

GamesAutomationAutomation + Choose Your Own Adventure

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Choose Your Own Adventure Automation game?

Automation + Choose Your Own Adventure

Only 7 developers shipped a Choose Your Own Adventure Automation game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Meco Rocket Simulator, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 16 more are announced, ×4.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $150 against a market of $630. 16 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.2 times the market baseline, revenue down 100% on the market, 16 announced, ×4.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Automation + Choose Your Own Adventure
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 7

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Automation + Choose Your Own Adventure: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 7
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $150 (exactly $150)
Top 25% $1.5k (exactly $1,544)
Top 5% $22k (exactly $22,360)
Developers, 2 yr 7
Released games 27
Announced 16
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 35% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 26%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Automation
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Choose Your Own Adventure
effort 2 / 10 · high · branching text with light state

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Automation, Choose Your Own Adventure
Price point
$5.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 84% positive over 1,892 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $150, 1 in 4 over $1.5k, 1 in 20 over $22k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 8 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 16 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Automation with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorStrong odds36 devs · median $57k · 31 announced
  2. + Female ProtagonistStrong odds27 devs · median $4.5k · 32 announced
  3. + Open World Survival CraftFair28 devs · median $307k · 37 announced
  4. + HorrorFair19 devs · median $8.0k · 29 announced
  5. + HistoricalFair26 devs · median $7.9k · 24 announced
  6. + UndergroundFair20 devs · median $7.4k · 32 announced
  7. + Class-BasedFair19 devs · median $6.6k · 22 announced
  8. + MiningFair105 devs · median $4.9k · 164 announced
  9. + Auto BattlerFair112 devs · median $4.5k · 153 announced
  10. + ProgrammingFair84 devs · median $3.8k · 102 announced
  11. + FishingFair40 devs · median $3.4k · 46 announced
  12. + Turn-Based TacticsFair28 devs · median $2.9k · 36 announced

All 135 pairs on the Automation page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Regular Human Workshop older $9.99 1,201 89% 36k $360k (exactly $359,940) Dead Joker
PRODUCER 2021 older $9.99 164 100% 4.9k $49k (exactly $49,151) Stuffed Wombat, ThorHighHeels
PixPhys · EA older $3.99 193 73% 5.8k $23k (exactly $23,102) Red Starship
Meco Rocket Simulator · EA $49.69 15 80% 450 $22k (exactly $22,360) Loren Aerospace
Droneboi: Conquest older $8.99 42 73% 1.3k $11k (exactly $11,327) Rizen Planet Studios
Taxi Simulator · EA older $0.99 86 43% 2.6k $2.6k (exactly $2,554) Whoisthis
Hardwork Simulator older $1.99 36 94% 1.1k $2.1k (exactly $2,149) Mandinga
Logistics Simulator · EA older $0.99 63 30% 1.9k $1.9k (exactly $1,871) Whoisthis
MEMOLOGY: War of Memes $0.99 52 76% 1.6k $1.5k (exactly $1,544) Piece Of Voxel, Gamesforfarm, hannibaln… (Piece Of Voxel, Gamesforfarm, hannibalnotdead)
BzzzController older $0.99 40 87% 1.2k $1.2k (exactly $1,188) Cold-Dark Software™
Enclaved $2.99 2 100% 60 $179 (exactly $179) Digital Platforms Co.
ERAIASON · EA $4.99 1 0% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Christian Hahm
GastroNomicon · EA $9.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) TH3 NΔKOMΔ PROTOCOL
Algorithmically $12.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Pipera Games
AI and You · EA $5.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Marcus

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.