Do I ship it?

GamesAutomationAutomation + Choices Matter

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Choices Matter Automation game?

Automation + Choices Matter

Of 64 developers who shipped a Choices Matter Automation game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 124 more are announced, ×3.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.3k, ×2.1 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $330; 1 in 20 cleared $270k, ×431 the market median. Revenue is up 30% on the market; 124 games are announced against 42 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.1 times the market baseline, revenue up 30% on the market, 124 announced, ×3.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Automation + Choices Matter
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 64
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $7.2k → $599 → $1.4k → $2.4k → $959 → $2.4k (still earning) → $330 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Automation + Choices Matter: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 64
Bottom 30% $330 (exactly $330)
Median $1.3k (exactly $1,317)
Top 25% $16k (exactly $15,588)
Top 5% $271k (exactly $270,723)
Developers, 2 yr 64
Released games 111
Announced 124
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.00

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 30% on the market, supply 90% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Automation
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Choices Matter
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Automation, Choices Matter; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Management, Resource Management
Price point
$5.00 typical · top 25% priced $17.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics, Relaxing
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $17.99 or above; the middle game at $5.00.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 10,267 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $330, median $1.3k, 1 in 4 over $15k, 1 in 20 over $270k.

3 in 10 developers made under $330. 8 in 10 of the 24 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 124 games are announced against 42 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Automation with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorStrong odds36 devs · median $57k · 31 announced
  2. + Female ProtagonistStrong odds27 devs · median $4.5k · 32 announced
  3. + Open World Survival CraftFair28 devs · median $307k · 37 announced
  4. + HorrorFair19 devs · median $8.0k · 29 announced
  5. + HistoricalFair26 devs · median $7.9k · 24 announced
  6. + UndergroundFair20 devs · median $7.4k · 32 announced
  7. + Class-BasedFair19 devs · median $6.6k · 22 announced
  8. + MiningFair105 devs · median $4.9k · 164 announced
  9. + Auto BattlerFair112 devs · median $4.5k · 153 announced
  10. + ProgrammingFair84 devs · median $3.8k · 102 announced
  11. + FishingFair40 devs · median $3.4k · 46 announced
  12. + Turn-Based TacticsFair28 devs · median $2.9k · 36 announced

All 135 pairs on the Automation page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Crust $31.99 3,502 76% 105k $3.4M (exactly $3,360,869) VEOM Studio
Parcel Simulator $17.99 2,804 93% 84k $1.5M (exactly $1,513,319) Dansan Digital
Potion Tycoon $19.99 629 71% 19k $377k (exactly $377,211) Snowhound Games
GolfTopia older $19.99 477 95% 14k $286k (exactly $286,057) MinMax Games Ltd.
All Hail the Orb $6.99 1,291 93% 39k $271k (exactly $270,723) LeGingerDev
Recipe for Disaster older $14.99 591 69% 18k $266k (exactly $265,773) Dapper Penguin Studios
Auto Rogue $6.99 719 91% 22k $151k (exactly $150,774) 定期的な宝物
Carpet Cleaning Simulator $6.99 508 87% 15k $107k (exactly $106,528) daimaGAME
Moonshine Inc. older $19.99 177 61% 5.3k $106k (exactly $106,147) Klabater
Keep Keepers $17.99 135 87% 4.1k $73k (exactly $72,860) Thunderrock Innovations
Garbage Growth $4.99 350 91% 11k $52k (exactly $52,395) apepatrickdev
SuperTaxCity $9.99 166 89% 5.0k $50k (exactly $49,750) soramame-koubou
Rogue Factory $9.99 163 71% 4.9k $49k (exactly $48,851) curried_functor, ecaroh

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.