Do I ship it?

GamesAutomationAutomation + Board Game

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Board Game Automation game?

Automation + Board Game

Of 21 developers who shipped a Board Game Automation game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 12 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $600, level with the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $180. Revenue is up 10% on the market; 12 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 10% on the market, 12 announced, ×0.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Automation + Board Game
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 21
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $718 → $179 → $1.8k (still earning) → $600 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Automation + Board Game: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 21
Bottom 30% $179 (exactly $179)
Median $600 (exactly $600)
Top 25% $1.8k (exactly $1,796)
Top 5% $74k (exactly $74,216)
Developers, 2 yr 21
Released games 30
Announced 12
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $3.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 10% on the market, supply 65% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Automation
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Board Game
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Automation, Board Game; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Resource Management, Strategy, Idler
Price point
$3.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Cartoony, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $3.99.

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 1,107 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $600, 1 in 4 over $1.7k, 1 in 20 over $74k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. 8 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 12 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Automation with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorStrong odds36 devs · median $57k · 31 announced
  2. + Female ProtagonistStrong odds27 devs · median $4.5k · 32 announced
  3. + Open World Survival CraftFair28 devs · median $307k · 37 announced
  4. + HorrorFair19 devs · median $8.0k · 29 announced
  5. + HistoricalFair26 devs · median $7.9k · 24 announced
  6. + UndergroundFair20 devs · median $7.4k · 32 announced
  7. + Class-BasedFair19 devs · median $6.6k · 22 announced
  8. + MiningFair105 devs · median $4.9k · 164 announced
  9. + Auto BattlerFair112 devs · median $4.5k · 153 announced
  10. + ProgrammingFair84 devs · median $3.8k · 102 announced
  11. + FishingFair40 devs · median $3.4k · 46 announced
  12. + Turn-Based TacticsFair28 devs · median $2.9k · 36 announced

All 135 pairs on the Automation page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Console Shop Simulator · EA $15.99 516 92% 15k $248k (exactly $247,525) Lance Games
A=B older $4.99 908 94% 27k $136k (exactly $135,928) Artless Games
Lucky Hunter $5.99 413 89% 12k $74k (exactly $74,216) 159 Studio
Automatic Kingdom $12.99 28 75% 840 $11k (exactly $10,912) Matthew Pontarolo
The Board is Yours $2.50 38 97% 1.1k $2.9k (exactly $2,850) Draelent
Ocean Cleaner Idle $2.99 28 57% 840 $2.5k (exactly $2,512) Watt a Day Games
Simple CEO older $3.99 17 64% 510 $2.0k (exactly $2,035) Madowl Games
CELESTIAL: FIRE & FORGE $4.99 12 41% 360 $1.8k (exactly $1,796) ERA Soft Studio
FLOWORKS · EA $7.99 7 71% 210 $1.7k (exactly $1,678) QUENCH FORGE
Gold Rush Clicker older $1.99 26 53% 780 $1.6k (exactly $1,552) Boogygames Studios
MEMOLOGY: War of Memes $0.99 52 76% 1.6k $1.5k (exactly $1,544) Piece Of Voxel, Gamesforfarm, hannibaln… (Piece Of Voxel, Gamesforfarm, hannibalnotdead)
Port Shipping Tycoon $4.99 5 0% 150 $748 (exactly $748) Urban Isotope
ScreenSaver Battle $2.99 8 100% 240 $718 (exactly $718) MFC STUDIO, KOSEI YASUDA

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.