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Should I ship an Assassin Tactical game?
Tactical + Assassins
Only 18 developers shipped an Assassin Tactical game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Suit for Hire, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 34 more are announced, ×2.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $480, ×0.3 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $60. 34 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.8 per shipper, while revenue is down 55% on the market.
| Bottom 30% | $60 (exactly $60) |
|---|---|
| Median | $480 (exactly $480) |
| Top 25% | $2.9k (exactly $2,876) |
| Top 5% | $1.5M (exactly $1,467,371) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 18 |
| Released games | 67 |
| Announced | 34 |
| Effort | 7 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $7.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 55% on the market, supply 100% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
- Systems
- Tactical; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Shooter, FPS
- Price point
- $7.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Atmospheric, Fast-Paced, First-Person
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.
The top 10 games average 88% positive over 4,533 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $60. 8 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 34 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.8 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Tactical with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Football (American)Strong odds
- + Mystery DungeonStrong odds
- + Dating SimFair
- + 6DOFFair
- + Word GameFair
- + TypingFair
- + DwarvesFair
- + Traditional RoguelikeFair
- + Dynamic NarrationFair
- + Farming SimFair
- + SolitaireFair
- + LGBTQ+Fair
Comparable games
Assassin's Creed® Unity 2014 · $71M 
Counter-Strike 2000 · $51M 
Shadow Tactics: Blades of the Shogun 2016 · $37M 
DEATHLOOP 2021 · $36M 
Hitman: Absolution™ 2012 · $30M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Assassin's Creed® Unity | older | $29.99 | 79,116 77% | 2.4M | $71M (exactly $71,180,665) | Ubisoft |
| | Counter-Strike | older | $9.99 | 169,780 96% | 5.1M | $51M (exactly $50,883,066) | Valve |
| | Shadow Tactics: Blades of the Shogun | older | $39.99 | 30,845 96% | 925k | $37M (exactly $37,004,746) | Mimimi Games |
| | DEATHLOOP | older | $59.99 | 19,910 76% | 597k | $36M (exactly $35,832,027) | Arkane Studios |
| | Hitman: Absolution™ | older | $19.99 | 49,637 93% | 1.5M | $30M (exactly $29,767,309) | Io-Interactive A/S |
 | Sniper Ghost Warrior Contracts 2 | older | $39.99 | 12,781 83% | 383k | $15M (exactly $15,333,366) | CI Games |
 | Desperados III | older | $39.99 | 11,880 96% | 356k | $14M (exactly $14,252,436) | Mimimi Games |
 | Cruelty Squad | older | $19.99 | 23,209 96% | 696k | $14M (exactly $13,918,437) | Consumer Softproducts |
 | Sniper Ghost Warrior Contracts | older | $29.99 | 10,966 73% | 329k | $9.9M (exactly $9,866,110) | CI Games |
 | Partisans 1941 | older | $29.99 | 7,531 82% | 226k | $6.8M (exactly $6,775,641) | Alter Games |
 | Suit for Hire | $14.99 | 3,263 92% | 98k | $1.5M (exactly $1,467,371) | Godmode Interactive | |
 | Gunman Contracts - Stand Alone | · EA | $24.99 | 1,180 78% | 35k | $885k (exactly $884,646) | ANB_Seth |
 | Red Tears: Angola | · EA | $14.99 | 39 84% | 1.2k | $18k (exactly $17,538) | Arun Haines |
 | False Alarm | $9.99 | 14 100% | 420 | $4.2k (exactly $4,196) | Scattered Discs | |
 | Lightning Katana | $7.99 | 12 100% | 360 | $2.9k (exactly $2,876) | Juicy Pulp Games | |
 | Sipssassin | $9.99 | 6 100% | 180 | $1.8k (exactly $1,798) | Simmering Studios | |
 | Subzero Stealth | · EA | $7.99 | 6 100% | 180 | $1.4k (exactly $1,438) | Verona Interactive |
 | Bakka | $1.99 | 10 100% | 300 | $597 (exactly $597) | Mathieu POWALKA | |
 | Cartel | $15.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $480 (exactly $480) | ren studios | |
 | Psycho-Kin | $7.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $479 (exactly $479) | FlyAway Studios |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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