Do I ship it?

GamesArcadeArcade + Trivia

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Trivia Arcade game?

Arcade + Trivia

Only 13 developers shipped a Trivia Arcade game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, The Jackbox Survey Scramble, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 16 more are announced, ×5.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 3 / 10 build.

Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $140 against a market of $480. 16 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 100% on the market, 16 announced, ×5.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Arcade + Trivia
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 13

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Arcade + Trivia: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 13
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $143 (exactly $143)
Top 25% $2.2k (exactly $2,248)
Top 5% $95k (exactly $95,305)
Developers, 2 yr 13
Released games 42
Announced 16
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 70% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Arcade
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Trivia
effort 1 / 10 · high · question bank and scoring

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Arcade, Trivia; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Board Game, Logic, Puzzle
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
8 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Funny, 2D, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 7 games average 90% positive over 391 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $140, 1 in 4 over $2.2k, 1 in 20 over $95k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 16 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Arcade with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Roguelike DeckbuilderFair59 devs · median $4.3k · 88 announced
  2. + TrainsFair20 devs · median $3.1k · 16 announced
  3. + Visual NovelFair101 devs · median $2.6k · 84 announced
  4. + MiningFair91 devs · median $2.2k · 125 announced
  5. + FaithFair16 devs · median $2.2k · 15 announced
  6. + Turn-BasedFair35 devs · median $2.2k · 32 announced
  7. + EconomyFair199 devs · median $2.1k · 285 announced
  8. + LGBTQ+Fair72 devs · median $2.1k · 61 announced
  9. + DeckbuildingFair170 devs · median $1.9k · 234 announced
  10. + Card BattlerFair68 devs · median $1.9k · 75 announced
  11. + LootFair147 devs · median $1.9k · 215 announced
  12. + VampiresFair34 devs · median $1.9k · 35 announced

All 270 pairs on the Arcade page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Jackbox Party Pack 10 older $29.99 500 65% 15k $450k (exactly $449,850) Jackbox Games, Inc.
Who Wants To Be A Millionaire older $29.99 405 52% 12k $364k (exactly $364,378) Appeal Studios, Balio Studio
Brain Show: Party Game older $14.99 234 73% 7.0k $105k (exactly $105,230) Simplicity Games
The Jackbox Survey Scramble $9.99 318 90% 9.5k $95k (exactly $95,305) Jackbox Games, Inc
Wer weiß denn sowas? - Das 2. Spiel older $29.99 18 66% 540 $16k (exactly $16,195) bitComposer Interactive GmbH
Gallery: Coloring book & decor $9.99 36 97% 1.1k $11k (exactly $10,789) Beresnev Games
Schlag den Star - Das 2. Spiel older $19.99 13 7% 390 $7.8k (exactly $7,796) Beatshapers
Who Dies First ? $4.99 27 88% 810 $4.0k (exactly $4,042) Stupid games
Cute Girl older $0.99 84 75% 2.5k $2.5k (exactly $2,495) Cute Girl corp
Play Together: Party Games $14.99 5 60% 150 $2.2k (exactly $2,248) Plot Interactive
Medieval Questionnaire $9.99 2 0% 60 $599 (exactly $599) MedievalQuest
Meanings hidden in plain sight $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) bmbchp
CrystalLinker:Infinity $2.39 2 100% 60 $143 (exactly $143) Moeghost Studio
Robot Trivia Funtime $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Silicon Kiwi
Top Web Search 23 $1.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Source Byte
BallQuizzle · EA $1.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Joseph Dolmaya

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.