Do I ship it?

Games › Arcade › Arcade + Faith

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Faith Arcade game?

Arcade + Faith

Only 16 developers shipped a Faith Arcade game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, TouHou Makuka Sai ~ Fantastic Danmaku Festival Part III, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 15 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.2k, ×4.7 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $270. Revenue is up 170% on the market; 15 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.7 times the market baseline, revenue up 170% on the market, 15 announced, ×1.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Arcade + Faith
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 16
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.5k → $9.6k → $5.2k → $479 → $21k → $49k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Arcade + Faith: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 16
Bottom 30% $269 (exactly $269)
Median $2.2k (exactly $2,246)
Top 25% $49k (exactly $48,551)
Top 5% $521k (exactly $521,267)
Developers, 2 yr 16
Released games 74
Announced 15
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 170% on the market, supply 30% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 22%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Arcade
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Faith
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Arcade; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Bullet Hell, Shooter
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
8 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Anime, Cute
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 2,701 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $270, median $2.2k, 1 in 4 over $48k, 1 in 20 over $520k.

3 in 10 developers made under $270. 8 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 15 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Arcade with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Roguelike DeckbuilderFair59 devs · median $4.3k · 88 announced
  2. + TrainsFair20 devs · median $3.1k · 16 announced
  3. + Visual NovelFair101 devs · median $2.6k · 84 announced
  4. + MiningFair91 devs · median $2.2k · 125 announced
  5. + Turn-BasedFair35 devs · median $2.2k · 32 announced
  6. + EconomyFair199 devs · median $2.1k · 285 announced
  7. + LGBTQ+Fair72 devs · median $2.1k · 61 announced
  8. + DeckbuildingFair170 devs · median $1.9k · 234 announced
  9. + Card BattlerFair68 devs · median $1.9k · 75 announced
  10. + LootFair147 devs · median $1.9k · 215 announced
  11. + VampiresFair34 devs · median $1.9k · 35 announced
  12. + RomanceFair58 devs · median $1.8k · 49 announced

All 270 pairs on the Arcade page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Touhou Tenkuushou ~ Hidden Star in Four Seasons. 2017 · $1.9M 東方憑依華　～ Antinomy of Common Flowers. 2018 · $1.3M Touhou Kouryudou ~ Unconnected Marketeers. 2021 · $790k Touhou Fuujinroku ~ Mountain of Faith. 2020 · $729k Touhou Kanjuden ~ Legacy of Lunatic Kingdom. 2019 · $682k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Touhou Tenkuushou ~ Hidden Star in Four Seasons. older $14.99 4,312 98% 129k $1.9M (exactly $1,939,106) 上海アリス幻樂団
東方憑依華　～ Antinomy of Common Flowers. older $24.99 1,769 91% 53k $1.3M (exactly $1,326,219) 黄昏フロンティア
Touhou Kouryudou ~ Unconnected Marketeers. older $14.99 1,756 97% 53k $790k (exactly $789,673) 上海アリス幻樂団
Touhou Fuujinroku ~ Mountain of Faith. older $14.99 1,621 98% 49k $729k (exactly $728,964) 上海アリス幻樂団
Touhou Kanjuden ~ Legacy of Lunatic Kingdom. older $14.99 1,516 98% 45k $682k (exactly $681,745) 上海アリス幻樂団
Touhou Juuouen 〜 Unfinished Dream of All Living Ghost. older $14.99 1,174 93% 35k $528k (exactly $527,948) 上海アリス幻樂団
TouHou Makuka Sai ~ Fantastic Danmaku Festival Part III $13.99 1,242 90% 37k $521k (exactly $521,267) 东方幕华祭制作组
Touhou Kikeijuu ~ Wily Beast and Weakest Creature. older $14.99 1,031 97% 31k $464k (exactly $463,641) 上海アリス幻樂団
GENSOU Skydrift older $23.99 561 88% 17k $404k (exactly $403,752) illuCalab
Touhou Kinjoukyou ～ Fossilized Wonders. $14.99 832 91% 25k $374k (exactly $374,150) 上海アリス幻樂団
Internet Survivor Survivors $14.99 234 75% 7.0k $105k (exactly $105,230) ビートまりお / COOL&CREATE
Flock of the Seraphim $9.99 162 85% 4.9k $49k (exactly $48,551) GuuchanDev
東方资志疏 ~ Immortal Immanuel. (东方资志疏) $9.99 103 94% 3.1k $31k (exactly $30,869) 雾雨威Channel, 沙包聚集地制作组
Touhou Kouzougi　～ Flickerframe Shutter Festival $14.99 47 93% 1.4k $21k (exactly $21,136) Ryann Thierry
Disaster Arms - Impact Project B.A.H.N. $9.99 57 100% 1.7k $17k (exactly $17,083) PD_CGT
東方恋物語 ~ Locked Together $4.99 15 100% 450 $2.2k (exactly $2,246) Mugenri
Towers Saga $12.99 4 100% 120 $1.6k (exactly $1,559) Wise Up Games
Touhou Renkyouto ~ Subterranean Festival of Love and Jealousy $9.99 5 100% 150 $1.5k (exactly $1,498) Arzvet, The Cabbage Preacher

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.