Do I ship it?

GamesArcadeArcade + Time Travel

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Time-Travel Arcade game?

Arcade + Time Travel

Only 19 developers shipped a Time-Travel Arcade game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Pizza Bandit, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 37 more are announced, ×4.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.5k, ×3.2 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $240; 1 in 20 cleared $130k, ×292 the market median. Revenue is up 95% on the market; 37 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.2 times the market baseline, revenue up 95% on the market, 37 announced, ×4.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Arcade + Time Travel
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 19
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $4.5k → $3.1k → $628 → $1.6k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Arcade + Time Travel: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 19
Bottom 30% $239 (exactly $239)
Median $1.5k (exactly $1,497)
Top 25% $7.6k (exactly $7,635)
Top 5% $139k (exactly $138,694)
Developers, 2 yr 19
Released games 61
Announced 37
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 95% on the market, supply 10% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Arcade
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Time Travel
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Arcade; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Action
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Atmospheric, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 445 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $240, median $1.5k, 1 in 4 over $7.6k, 1 in 20 over $130k.

3 in 10 developers made under $240. 9 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 37 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Arcade with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Roguelike DeckbuilderFair59 devs · median $4.3k · 88 announced
  2. + TrainsFair20 devs · median $3.1k · 16 announced
  3. + Visual NovelFair101 devs · median $2.6k · 84 announced
  4. + MiningFair91 devs · median $2.2k · 125 announced
  5. + FaithFair16 devs · median $2.2k · 15 announced
  6. + Turn-BasedFair35 devs · median $2.2k · 32 announced
  7. + EconomyFair199 devs · median $2.1k · 285 announced
  8. + LGBTQ+Fair72 devs · median $2.1k · 61 announced
  9. + DeckbuildingFair170 devs · median $1.9k · 234 announced
  10. + Card BattlerFair68 devs · median $1.9k · 75 announced
  11. + LootFair147 devs · median $1.9k · 215 announced
  12. + VampiresFair34 devs · median $1.9k · 35 announced

All 270 pairs on the Arcade page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Wanderer older $39.99 824 83% 25k $989k (exactly $988,553) Mighty Eyes
Pizza Bandit · EA $24.99 185 82% 5.6k $139k (exactly $138,694) JOFSOFT
Conduct DELUXE! older $9.99 210 83% 6.3k $63k (exactly $62,937) Northplay
Time Survivors older $4.99 272 61% 8.2k $41k (exactly $40,718) Lunar Chili
Pixel Ripped 1978: An Atari Adventure older $24.99 52 76% 1.6k $39k (exactly $38,984) ARVORE
Dragon's Lair 2: Time Warp older $9.99 107 77% 3.2k $32k (exactly $32,068) Digital Leisure Inc.
Time Recoil older $13.99 65 76% 2.0k $27k (exactly $27,280) 10tons Ltd
TimeShifters older $4.99 167 93% 5.0k $25k (exactly $25,000) FossettGaming
Dave.EXE · EA $14.99 55 94% 1.7k $25k (exactly $24,734) Dave Microwaves Games
Origament: A Paper Adventure $9.99 76 90% 2.3k $23k (exactly $22,777) Space Sauce Studio
Reality Rash $17.99 18 83% 540 $9.7k (exactly $9,715) Give your jumps
Tale of Immortal Ring $4.99 51 66% 1.5k $7.6k (exactly $7,635) Solo Gaming
BARD'S FAULT $9.99 21 80% 630 $6.3k (exactly $6,294) Sunabi Studios
Collateral Dungeon $9.99 10 100% 300 $3.0k (exactly $2,997) Techosaurus Studios
Planet Keeper Program $5.99 9 100% 270 $1.6k (exactly $1,617) Robo-Human Studios
Morse vs. Horse $4.99 10 100% 300 $1.5k (exactly $1,497) Company with your friends
Death Kid $4.99 10 100% 300 $1.5k (exactly $1,497) Crooked Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.