Do I ship it?

GamesTanksTanks + Arcade

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Arcade Tank game?

Tanks + Arcade

Of 43 developers who shipped an Arcade Tank game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 66 more are announced, ×2.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $360 in the last 2 years and $450 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 27 developers shipped in the last year and 66 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue down 70% on the market, 66 announced, ×2.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Tanks + Arcade
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 43
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $4.8k → $1.3k → $898 → $479 → $2.2k → $150 → $358 (still earning) → $150 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Tanks + Arcade: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 43
Bottom 30% $90 (exactly $90)
Median $358 (exactly $358)
Top 25% $1.3k (exactly $1,347)
Top 5% $7.9k (exactly $7,913)
Developers, 2 yr 43
Released games 179
Announced 66
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 70% on the market, supply 70% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Tanks
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Arcade
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Tanks, Arcade; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Shooter, Vehicular Combat
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Pixel Graphics, Third Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 77% positive over 1,371 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $90, median $360, 1 in 4 over $1.3k, 1 in 20 over $7.9k.

3 in 10 developers made under $90. 9 in 10 of the 19 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 66 games are announced against 27 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Tanks with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + HistoricalFair25 devs · median $5.4k · 26 announced
  2. + Turn-Based StrategyFair25 devs · median $3.0k · 24 announced
  3. + Turn-Based TacticsFair24 devs · median $3.0k · 24 announced
  4. + Tower DefenseFair14 devs · median $1.5k · 13 announced
  5. + Open WorldFair9 devs · median $1.3k · 11 announced
  6. + 2D PlatformerFair11 devs · median $599 · 11 announced
  7. + Online Co-OpPoor odds10 devs · median $16k · 26 announced
  8. + RPGPoor odds13 devs · median $14k · 8 announced
  9. + Turn-Based CombatPoor odds18 devs · median $7.2k · 23 announced
  10. + Action RTSPoor odds12 devs · median $4.0k · 19 announced
  11. + Real Time TacticsPoor odds22 devs · median $3.2k · 38 announced
  12. + TacticalPoor odds49 devs · median $2.5k · 85 announced

All 71 pairs on the Tanks page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Instruments of Destruction older $19.99 1,429 91% 43k $857k (exactly $856,971) Radiangames
Nitro Express $12.99 1,069 75% 32k $417k (exactly $416,589) Grayfax Software
Beach Invasion 1944 older $9.99 1,038 84% 31k $311k (exactly $311,089) AIx2 Games
Steel Crew · EA older $14.99 543 81% 16k $244k (exactly $244,187) Magnus Ander
Commando Collection older $4.99 1,414 95% 42k $212k (exactly $211,676) Macrojoy
Command & Conquer Renegade™ older $6.96 851 83% 26k $178k (exactly $177,689) Westwood Studios
Beach Invasion 1945 - Pacific older $9.99 255 78% 7.7k $76k (exactly $76,424) AIx2 Games
Tokyo Warfare Turbo older $14.99 136 86% 4.1k $61k (exactly $61,159) Pablo Vidaurre Sanz
Aircraft Evolution older $8.99 221 80% 6.6k $60k (exactly $59,604) Satur Entertainment
Furious Angels older $4.99 345 87% 10k $52k (exactly $51,646) MorfeoDev
My Waifu Is A Tank Girl! 💕 $2.99 161 80% 4.8k $14k (exactly $14,442) Neko Cloud
Exo Wanderers · EA $11.99 22 100% 660 $7.9k (exactly $7,913) 什工坊SueStudio
Threads of War $4.99 45 97% 1.4k $6.7k (exactly $6,736) KoS
Transporter $9.99 14 100% 420 $4.2k (exactly $4,196) Acid Pixel Studios
Deck of Treads $7.99 13 100% 390 $3.1k (exactly $3,116) DuckByte Games
Red Tanks vs Lizard $9.99 10 100% 300 $3.0k (exactly $2,997) Gamesforgames
TONK · EA $3.99 22 77% 660 $2.6k (exactly $2,633) YourAverageOtter
Tank Simulator $8.99 8 12% 240 $2.2k (exactly $2,158) Imperian Online - Praha
iM1A2 Abrams $7.99 7 57% 210 $1.7k (exactly $1,678) Charybdis Enterprises

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.