Do I ship it?

GamesTacticalTactical + Arcade

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Arcade Tactical game?

Tactical + Arcade

Of 228 developers who shipped an Arcade Tactical game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 327 more are announced, ×2.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $240 in the last 2 years and $270 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 6 / 10 build. 145 developers shipped in the last year and 327 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 55% on the market, 327 announced, ×2.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Tactical + Arcade
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 228
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $718 → $269 → $359 → $299 → $300 → $299 → $119 (still earning) → $239 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Tactical + Arcade: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 228
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $240 (exactly $240)
Top 25% $2.5k (exactly $2,516)
Top 5% $94k (exactly $94,406)
Developers, 2 yr 228
Released games 676
Announced 327
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 55% on the market, supply 75% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Tactical
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Arcade
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Tactical, Arcade; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Strategy, Shooter
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Colorful, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 82% positive over 32,399 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $240, 1 in 4 over $2.5k, 1 in 20 over $94k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 110 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 327 games are announced against 145 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Tactical with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Football (American)Strong odds12 devs · median $5.8k · 8 announced
  2. + Mystery DungeonStrong odds20 devs · median $2.5k · 15 announced
  3. + Dating SimFair13 devs · median $11k · 9 announced
  4. + 6DOFFair14 devs · median $2.4k · 19 announced
  5. + Word GameFair23 devs · median $1.8k · 12 announced
  6. + TypingFair16 devs · median $1.2k · 9 announced
  7. + DwarvesFair7 devs · median $1.0k · 10 announced
  8. + Traditional RoguelikeFair38 devs · median $987 · 57 announced
  9. + Dynamic NarrationFair13 devs · median $899 · 16 announced
  10. + Farming SimFair12 devs · median $897 · 10 announced
  11. + SolitaireFair25 devs · median $479 · 22 announced
  12. + LGBTQ+Fair20 devs · median $479 · 21 announced

All 226 pairs on the Tactical page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
STAR WARS Zero Company™ $49.99 19,521 82% 586k $29M (exactly $29,275,644) Bit Reactor
Xenonauts 2 $39.99 4,853 81% 146k $5.8M (exactly $5,822,144) Goldhawk Interactive
Heliborne Collection older $29.99 3,255 76% 98k $2.9M (exactly $2,928,524) Klabater
Suit for Hire $14.99 3,263 92% 98k $1.5M (exactly $1,467,371) Godmode Interactive
War Dust VR: 32v32 Battlefields older $24.99 1,489 80% 45k $1.1M (exactly $1,116,303) raptor lab
Heretic's Fork older $9.99 3,097 85% 93k $928k (exactly $928,171) 9FingerGames
Children of the Sun older $14.99 2,005 92% 60k $902k (exactly $901,648) René Rother
Warhounds $34.99 735 71% 22k $772k (exactly $771,530) Everplay DMCC
Gambonanza $14.99 1,604 74% 48k $721k (exactly $721,319) Blukulélé
Machine Mind $19.99 567 71% 17k $340k (exactly $340,030) Chudo-Yudo Games
Metal Thunder · EA $10.99 567 76% 17k $187k (exactly $186,940) Dumbbell Games
Bendy: Lone Wolf $19.99 259 77% 7.8k $155k (exactly $155,322) Joey Drew Studios
Motion Soccer PRO $19.99 223 79% 6.7k $134k (exactly $133,733) Ivanovich Games
Shooters, Ready! $4.99 807 99% 24k $121k (exactly $120,808) おこめたべたべず

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.