Do I ship it?

Games › Arcade › Arcade + Supernatural

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Supernatural Arcade game?

Arcade + Supernatural

Of 60 developers who shipped a Supernatural Arcade game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 99 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $180 in the last 2 years and $420 over 4, against a market of $480 for a 4 / 10 build. 39 developers shipped in the last year and 99 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 345% on the market, 99 announced, ×2.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Arcade + Supernatural
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 60
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.2k → $1.7k → $449 → $269 → $1.2k → $449 → $210 (still earning) → $150 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Arcade + Supernatural: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 60
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $179 (exactly $179)
Top 25% $2.1k (exactly $2,098)
Top 5% $34k (exactly $33,552)
Developers, 2 yr 60
Released games 170
Announced 99
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 345% on the market, supply 85% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 21%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Arcade
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Supernatural
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Arcade; 3 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Shooter
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $13.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Anime, First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $13.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 82% positive over 616 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $180, 1 in 4 over $2.0k, 1 in 20 over $33k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 29 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 99 games are announced against 39 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Arcade with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Roguelike DeckbuilderFair59 devs · median $4.3k · 88 announced
  2. + TrainsFair20 devs · median $3.1k · 16 announced
  3. + Visual NovelFair101 devs · median $2.6k · 84 announced
  4. + MiningFair91 devs · median $2.2k · 125 announced
  5. + FaithFair16 devs · median $2.2k · 15 announced
  6. + Turn-BasedFair35 devs · median $2.2k · 32 announced
  7. + EconomyFair199 devs · median $2.1k · 285 announced
  8. + LGBTQ+Fair72 devs · median $2.1k · 61 announced
  9. + DeckbuildingFair170 devs · median $1.9k · 234 announced
  10. + Card BattlerFair68 devs · median $1.9k · 75 announced
  11. + LootFair147 devs · median $1.9k · 215 announced
  12. + VampiresFair34 devs · median $1.9k · 35 announced

All 270 pairs on the Arcade page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Harry Potter: Quidditch Champions 2024 · $2.5M Alan Wake's American Nightmare 2012 · $2.3M An Ankou 2023 · EA · $90k Fright Train 2026 · $67k Wand Wars 2016 · $66k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Harry Potter: Quidditch Champions older $29.99 2,790 73% 84k $2.5M (exactly $2,510,163) Unbroken Studios
Alan Wake's American Nightmare older $8.99 8,352 74% 251k $2.3M (exactly $2,252,534) Remedy Entertainment
An Ankou · EA older $4.99 604 67% 18k $90k (exactly $90,419) Alkemi
Fright Train $15.99 139 89% 4.2k $67k (exactly $66,678) WildArts Games
Wand Wars older $11.99 183 96% 5.5k $66k (exactly $65,825) Moonradish Inc.
I will purify you $13.99 141 78% 4.2k $59k (exactly $59,178) Cheese Burger Studio
Volgarr the Viking II older $19.99 85 81% 2.6k $51k (exactly $50,974) Digital Eclipse, Crazy Viking Studios
Smilers Den Deluxxx $6.99 160 84% 4.8k $34k (exactly $33,552) MikiY
İBLİS2:sorcery older $7.99 122 36% 3.7k $29k (exactly $29,243) Bulut ULU
ARRIVAL: ZERO EARTH older $5.99 154 80% 4.6k $28k (exactly $27,674) jounitus
XXX Pussy House $6.99 66 71% 2.0k $14k (exactly $13,840) Dreamers Workshop
Escape from Ghosts $12.99 28 71% 840 $11k (exactly $10,912) Alex8778
Forecursed · EA $9.99 26 92% 780 $7.8k (exactly $7,792) William Van Herck
BAROQUE SHOOTING: REVERSED $14.99 14 92% 420 $6.3k (exactly $6,296) Sting
Soul Demon Hunters $11.99 17 88% 510 $6.1k (exactly $6,115) Cheese Burger Studio
Brave Rounds $14.99 12 100% 360 $5.4k (exactly $5,396) PlayShift Games
Whisper $9.99 13 53% 390 $3.9k (exactly $3,896) Uzun Production

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.