Do I ship it?

GamesArcadeArcade + Superhero

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Superhero Arcade game?

Arcade + Superhero

Of 34 developers who shipped a Superhero Arcade game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 24 more are announced.

Verdict: long shot, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $900, ×0.6 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, but 1 in 20 cleared $2.0M, ×1380 the market median. Revenue is up 125% on the market; 24 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 125% on the market, 24 announced, ×1.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Arcade + Superhero
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 34
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $300 → $4.3k → $300 → $719 → $359 → $8.6k → $809 (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Arcade + Superhero: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 34
Bottom 30% $210 (exactly $210)
Median $897 (exactly $897)
Top 25% $8.6k (exactly $8,635)
Top 5% $2.1M (exactly $2,067,511)
Developers, 2 yr 34
Released games 122
Announced 24
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 125% on the market, supply 20% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Arcade
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Superhero
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Arcade; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Action-Adventure, Adventure
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Comic Book, 1990's
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 80% positive over 6,591 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $210, median $900, 1 in 4 over $8.6k, 1 in 20 over $2.0M.

3 in 10 developers made under $210. 9 in 10 of the 19 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 24 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Arcade with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Roguelike DeckbuilderFair59 devs · median $4.3k · 88 announced
  2. + TrainsFair20 devs · median $3.1k · 16 announced
  3. + Visual NovelFair101 devs · median $2.6k · 84 announced
  4. + MiningFair91 devs · median $2.2k · 125 announced
  5. + FaithFair16 devs · median $2.2k · 15 announced
  6. + Turn-BasedFair35 devs · median $2.2k · 32 announced
  7. + EconomyFair199 devs · median $2.1k · 285 announced
  8. + LGBTQ+Fair72 devs · median $2.1k · 61 announced
  9. + DeckbuildingFair170 devs · median $1.9k · 234 announced
  10. + Card BattlerFair68 devs · median $1.9k · 75 announced
  11. + LootFair147 devs · median $1.9k · 215 announced
  12. + VampiresFair34 devs · median $1.9k · 35 announced

All 270 pairs on the Arcade page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Injustice™ 2 older $49.99 17,445 86% 523k $26M (exactly $26,162,266) NetherRealm Studios, QLOC
SpeedRunners older $14.99 22,842 94% 685k $10M (exactly $10,272,047) DoubleDutch Games
Injustice: Gods Among Us Ultimate Edition older $19.99 9,864 86% 296k $5.9M (exactly $5,915,441) NetherRealm Studios, High Voltage Softw… (NetherRealm Studios, High Voltage Software)
ULTIMATE MARVEL VS. CAPCOM 3 older $24.99 6,546 91% 196k $4.9M (exactly $4,907,536) CAPCOM CO., LTD.
Invincible VS $49.99 3,031 76% 91k $4.5M (exactly $4,545,591) Quarter Up
DRAGON BALL: THE BREAKERS older $29.99 4,983 50% 149k $4.5M (exactly $4,483,205) Dimps Corporation
ONE PUNCH MAN: A HERO NOBODY KNOWS older $59.99 1,692 53% 51k $3.0M (exactly $3,045,092) Spike Chunsoft Co. Ltd.
MARVEL vs. CAPCOM Fighting Collection: Arcade Classics older $49.99 1,976 93% 59k $3.0M (exactly $2,963,407) CAPCOM Co., Ltd.
Marvel vs. Capcom: Infinite older $39.99 2,445 67% 73k $2.9M (exactly $2,933,266) Capcom
MARVEL Cosmic Invasion $29.99 2,298 88% 69k $2.1M (exactly $2,067,511) Tribute Games Inc.
Superhero Simulator · EA $5.99 867 73% 26k $156k (exactly $155,800) mightyraccoon! Studios
MARVEL MaXimum Collection $24.99 111 76% 3.3k $83k (exactly $83,217) Limited Run Games
After School Grounds (방과후운동장) $3.99 160 99% 4.8k $19k (exactly $19,152) After School Vtuber
The Phantom $19.99 31 61% 930 $19k (exactly $18,591) Art Of Play Interactive
Super Farming Boy · EA $12.99 42 85% 1.3k $16k (exactly $16,367) LemonChili Soft
QUADRICOLOR: Ultra Sentai Color Ranger $12.99 27 96% 810 $11k (exactly $10,522) Quadri Team
Bullet: Surge $15.99 18 94% 540 $8.6k (exactly $8,635) Cerbere Games
Last Eclipse $12.99 6 50% 180 $2.3k (exactly $2,338) Animas Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.