Do I ship it?

GamesArcadeArcade + Psychological Horror

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Psychological-Horror Arcade game?

Arcade + Psychological Horror

Of 136 developers who shipped a Psychological-Horror Arcade game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 135 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $480, level with the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $180. Revenue is up 200% on the market; 135 games are announced against 74 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 200% on the market, 135 announced, ×1.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Arcade + Psychological Horror
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 136
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.2k → $479 → $1.2k → $1.5k → $180 → $653 → $599 (still earning) → $359 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Arcade + Psychological Horror: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 136
Bottom 30% $179 (exactly $179)
Median $479 (exactly $479)
Top 25% $3.8k (exactly $3,835)
Top 5% $88k (exactly $87,556)
Developers, 2 yr 136
Released games 477
Announced 135
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 200% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Arcade
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Psychological Horror
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Arcade; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Adventure, Simulation
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 94% positive over 33,338 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $480, 1 in 4 over $3.8k, 1 in 20 over $87k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. 8 in 10 of the 78 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 135 games are announced against 74 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Arcade with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Roguelike DeckbuilderFair59 devs · median $4.3k · 88 announced
  2. + TrainsFair20 devs · median $3.1k · 16 announced
  3. + Visual NovelFair101 devs · median $2.6k · 84 announced
  4. + MiningFair91 devs · median $2.2k · 125 announced
  5. + FaithFair16 devs · median $2.2k · 15 announced
  6. + Turn-BasedFair35 devs · median $2.2k · 32 announced
  7. + EconomyFair199 devs · median $2.1k · 285 announced
  8. + LGBTQ+Fair72 devs · median $2.1k · 61 announced
  9. + DeckbuildingFair170 devs · median $1.9k · 234 announced
  10. + Card BattlerFair68 devs · median $1.9k · 75 announced
  11. + LootFair147 devs · median $1.9k · 215 announced
  12. + VampiresFair34 devs · median $1.9k · 35 announced

All 270 pairs on the Arcade page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Geometry Dash older $4.99 595,606 93% 18M $89M (exactly $89,162,218) RobTop Games
Returnal™ older $59.99 6,602 79% 198k $12M (exactly $11,881,619) Housemarque, Climax Studios
Muse Dash older $2.99 112,437 91% 3.4M $10M (exactly $10,085,599) peropero
Cat Goes Fishing older $6.99 15,431 94% 463k $3.2M (exactly $3,235,881) Cat5Games
Nubby's Number Factory $4.99 18,138 97% 544k $2.7M (exactly $2,715,259) MogDogBlog Productions
Thumper older $19.99 4,056 91% 122k $2.4M (exactly $2,432,383) Drool
Alan Wake's American Nightmare older $8.99 8,352 74% 251k $2.3M (exactly $2,252,534) Remedy Entertainment
Touhou Tenkuushou ~ Hidden Star in Four Seasons. older $14.99 4,312 98% 129k $1.9M (exactly $1,939,106) 上海アリス幻樂団
FlatOut 4: Total Insanity older $29.99 1,938 53% 58k $1.7M (exactly $1,743,619) Kylotonn
Super Monkey Ball Banana Mania older $29.99 1,313 82% 39k $1.2M (exactly $1,181,306) RGG Studio
VHOLUME $8.00 2,992 97% 90k $718k (exactly $718,080) Nathan Grange, Léonard Lemaitre, Niels… (Nathan Grange, Léonard Lemaitre, Niels Tiercelin)
That's not my Neighbor $2.99 4,498 88% 135k $403k (exactly $403,471) Nachosama Games
ButtKnight $9.99 1,299 91% 39k $389k (exactly $389,310) Goblin Stew, Critical Bliss
SchoolBoy Runaway $1.99 3,731 90% 112k $223k (exactly $222,741) Linked Squad
Bendy: Lone Wolf $19.99 259 77% 7.8k $155k (exactly $155,322) Joey Drew Studios
Death In Abyss $19.99 146 82% 4.4k $88k (exactly $87,556) Agelvik
ZAKO NO AHIRU $6.99 278 87% 8.3k $58k (exactly $58,297) FUファイターズ
BEHEMOTH $3.99 412 88% 12k $49k (exactly $49,316) The Behemoth
Furry Aim Trainer $0.99 1,585 93% 48k $47k (exactly $47,074) Pantsu Productions

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.