Do I ship it?

GamesParty GameParty Game + Arcade

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Arcade Party Game?

Party Game + Arcade

Of 259 developers who shipped an Arcade Party Game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 469 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $450, ×0.9 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50; 1 in 20 cleared $23k, ×49 the market median. Revenue is down 75% on the market; 469 games are announced against 214 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.9 times the market baseline, revenue down 75% on the market, 469 announced, ×2.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Party Game + Arcade
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 259
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.9k → $1.9k → $2.8k → $1.2k → $2.2k → $540 → $359 (still earning) → $150 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Party Game + Arcade: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 259
Bottom 30% $30 (exactly $30)
Median $449 (exactly $449)
Top 25% $2.5k (exactly $2,516)
Top 5% $23k (exactly $23,077)
Developers, 2 yr 259
Released games 490
Announced 469
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 75% on the market, supply 375% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Party Game
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Arcade
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Party Game, Arcade; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, PvP, Local Multiplayer
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Funny, Family Friendly, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 5,243 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $450, 1 in 4 over $2.5k, 1 in 20 over $23k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 54 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 469 games are announced against 214 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Party Game with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Board GameFair72 devs · median $899 · 98 announced
  2. + RhythmFair11 devs · median $802 · 19 announced
  3. + DeckbuildingFair22 devs · median $719 · 30 announced
  4. + Card BattlerFair28 devs · median $449 · 35 announced
  5. + MinigamesPoor odds28 devs · median $4.0k · 66 announced
  6. + RoguelitePoor odds22 devs · median $2.7k · 68 announced
  7. + RoguelikePoor odds16 devs · median $2.7k · 51 announced
  8. + Vehicular CombatPoor odds14 devs · median $2.4k · 45 announced
  9. + DestructionPoor odds13 devs · median $1.8k · 79 announced
  10. + DrivingPoor odds28 devs · median $1.7k · 60 announced
  11. + SurvivalPoor odds55 devs · median $1.3k · 135 announced
  12. + HorrorPoor odds61 devs · median $1.3k · 144 announced

All 95 pairs on the Party Game page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Move or Die older $14.99 16,479 89% 494k $7.4M (exactly $7,410,606) Xelu, Those Awesome Guys
ROUNDS older $5.99 35,738 95% 1.1M $6.4M (exactly $6,422,119) Landfall
Tricky Towers older $14.99 12,390 90% 372k $5.6M (exactly $5,571,783) WeirdBeard
Backyard Baseball $39.99 1,210 80% 36k $1.5M (exactly $1,451,637) Mega Cat Studios
LEGO® Party! $39.99 1,112 87% 33k $1.3M (exactly $1,334,066) SMG Studio
TowerFall Ascension older $14.99 2,942 95% 88k $1.3M (exactly $1,323,017) Maddy Makes Games Inc., Extremely OK Ga… (Maddy Makes Games Inc., Extremely OK Games, Ltd.)
Boomerang Fu older $14.99 1,805 97% 54k $812k (exactly $811,708) Cranky Watermelon
Football Simulator · EA older $19.99 896 79% 27k $537k (exactly $537,331) Refactor Games
The Jackbox Party Pack 10 older $29.99 500 65% 15k $450k (exactly $449,850) Jackbox Games, Inc.
Who Wants To Be A Millionaire older $29.99 405 52% 12k $364k (exactly $364,378) Appeal Studios, Balio Studio
A Gentlemen's Dispute $7.99 1,199 94% 36k $287k (exactly $287,400) Blast Furnace Games
Motion Soccer PRO $19.99 223 79% 6.7k $134k (exactly $133,733) Ivanovich Games
WASD : The Adventure of Tori $3.99 730 83% 22k $87k (exactly $87,381) EVNA Games
Beetleball $7.99 354 93% 11k $85k (exactly $84,854) Bugfight Studio
Royalty Free-For-All $11.99 104 86% 3.1k $37k (exactly $37,409) AAAA Games, LLC
Judofuri $14.99 80 100% 2.4k $36k (exactly $35,976) pataya
Bean There, Won That $7.99 117 76% 3.5k $28k (exactly $28,045) RemRem Studios
Shady job $7.99 114 70% 3.4k $27k (exactly $27,326) GAZE IN GAMES

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.