Do I ship it?

Games › Arcade › Arcade + Logic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Logic Arcade game?

Arcade + Logic

Of 284 developers who shipped a Logic Arcade game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 207 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $180 in the last 2 years and $300 over 4, against a market of $480 for a 3 / 10 build. 173 developers shipped in the last year and 207 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 40% on the market, 207 announced, ×1.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Arcade + Logic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 284
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.2k → $360 → $327 → $239 → $210 → $180 → $117 (still earning) → $239 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Arcade + Logic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 284
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $180 (exactly $180)
Top 25% $1.2k (exactly $1,199)
Top 5% $11k (exactly $10,793)
Developers, 2 yr 284
Released games 914
Announced 207
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 40% on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Arcade
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Logic
effort 2 / 10 · high · deductive rules and grids

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Arcade, Logic; 3 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Puzzle, Strategy, Action
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $11.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Colorful, Family Friendly
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $11.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 9,615 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $180, 1 in 4 over $1.1k, 1 in 20 over $10k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. Nearly all of the 132 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 207 games are announced against 173 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Arcade with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Roguelike DeckbuilderFair59 devs · median $4.3k · 88 announced
  2. + TrainsFair20 devs · median $3.1k · 16 announced
  3. + Visual NovelFair101 devs · median $2.6k · 84 announced
  4. + MiningFair91 devs · median $2.2k · 125 announced
  5. + FaithFair16 devs · median $2.2k · 15 announced
  6. + Turn-BasedFair35 devs · median $2.2k · 32 announced
  7. + EconomyFair199 devs · median $2.1k · 285 announced
  8. + LGBTQ+Fair72 devs · median $2.1k · 61 announced
  9. + DeckbuildingFair170 devs · median $1.9k · 234 announced
  10. + Card BattlerFair68 devs · median $1.9k · 75 announced
  11. + LootFair147 devs · median $1.9k · 215 announced
  12. + VampiresFair34 devs · median $1.9k · 35 announced

All 270 pairs on the Arcade page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Drop Duchy 2025 · $1.3M Brickadia 2025 · EA · $761k Glyphica: Typing Survival 2024 · EA · $746k Last Call BBS 2022 · $732k LYNE 2014 · $644k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Drop Duchy $14.99 2,962 89% 89k $1.3M (exactly $1,332,011) Sleepy Mill Studio
Brickadia · EA $19.99 1,269 81% 38k $761k (exactly $761,019) Brickadia, LLC
Glyphica: Typing Survival · EA $9.99 2,488 90% 75k $746k (exactly $745,654) aliasBLACK
Last Call BBS older $19.99 1,220 94% 37k $732k (exactly $731,634) Zachtronics
LYNE older $2.99 7,185 95% 216k $644k (exactly $644,494) Thomas Bowker
Progressbar95 older $4.99 3,473 96% 104k $520k (exactly $519,908) Igor Uduslivii
Agatha Christie - Death on the Nile $39.99 221 78% 6.6k $265k (exactly $265,134) Microids Studio Lyon
Rhythia · EA $3.99 2,029 83% 61k $243k (exactly $242,871) Capo Games
Tower Networking Inc. · EA $19.99 317 95% 9.5k $190k (exactly $190,105) Pocosia Studios
Ninja Stealth older $4.99 912 76% 27k $137k (exactly $136,526) SC Jogos
Tech Blast $39.99 90 92% 2.7k $108k (exactly $107,973) Galactic Geckon
Slip 'n Slime $9.99 76 94% 2.3k $23k (exactly $22,777) Wild Magic Studio
Body Pay "OMG! The girl with the big titties is too hitting on me!" $4.99 117 73% 3.5k $18k (exactly $17,515) Cheese Burger Studio
Rollick N' Roll $9.99 46 93% 1.4k $14k (exactly $13,786) Crayonix Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.