Do I ship it?

GamesJob SimulatorJob Simulator + Arcade

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Arcade Job Simulator?

Job Simulator + Arcade

Of 21 developers who shipped an Arcade Job Simulator in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 27 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $3.1k, ×6.6 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $450; 1 in 20 cleared $220k, ×481 the market median. Revenue is down 85% on the market; 27 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 6.6 times the market baseline, revenue down 85% on the market, 27 announced, ×1.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Job Simulator + Arcade
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 21
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $11k → $6.2k → $78k → $2.5k (still earning) → $1.9k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Job Simulator + Arcade: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 21
Bottom 30% $450 (exactly $450)
Median $3.1k (exactly $3,116)
Top 25% $23k (exactly $23,384)
Top 5% $228k (exactly $228,436)
Developers, 2 yr 21
Released games 38
Announced 27
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 85% on the market, supply 75% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Job Simulator
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Arcade
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Job Simulator, Arcade; 3 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Action
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
7 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Colorful, Relaxing, Cute
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 93% positive over 4,421 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $450, median $3.1k, 1 in 4 over $23k, 1 in 20 over $220k.

3 in 10 developers made under $450. 6 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 27 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Job Simulator with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + AutomationStrong odds36 devs · median $57k · 31 announced
  2. + NatureStrong odds21 devs · median $38k · 19 announced
  3. + CollectathonStrong odds33 devs · median $33k · 42 announced
  4. + BuildingStrong odds66 devs · median $28k · 70 announced
  5. + Artificial IntelligenceStrong odds18 devs · median $23k · 6 announced
  6. + Inventory ManagementStrong odds69 devs · median $15k · 62 announced
  7. + CraftingStrong odds62 devs · median $15k · 65 announced
  8. + Shop KeeperStrong odds101 devs · median $13k · 122 announced
  9. + Hidden ObjectStrong odds17 devs · median $11k · 21 announced
  10. + CapitalismFair72 devs · median $23k · 75 announced
  11. + EconomyFair116 devs · median $22k · 125 announced
  12. + Immersive SimFair152 devs · median $20k · 180 announced

All 42 pairs on the Job Simulator page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Galaxy Burger older $11.99 2,456 96% 74k $883k (exactly $883,423) Galactic Workshop
The Chef's Shift $12.99 1,948 97% 58k $759k (exactly $759,136) Panitia GameDev
Moldwasher $8.99 847 91% 25k $228k (exactly $228,436) Rubel Games
TROLEU $9.99 607 92% 18k $182k (exactly $181,918) andrground
Piñata Go Boom $3.99 652 91% 20k $78k (exactly $78,044) tissue inu
Rolling Hills: Cozy Sushi Restaurant older $14.99 159 88% 4.8k $72k (exactly $71,502) Catch & Release, LLC
Woodo $16.99 118 99% 3.5k $60k (exactly $60,145) Tiny Monks Tales
Shave & Stuff $14.99 52 84% 1.6k $23k (exactly $23,384) HyperVR Games
LIBRITOPIA: Librarian Simulator · EA $6.99 104 84% 3.1k $22k (exactly $21,809) Aiyra, Little Giants
Express Car Wash Simulator · EA $12.99 44 65% 1.3k $17k (exactly $17,147) Yekta Ozcan
Uh Oh Airlines · EA $17.99 26 69% 780 $14k (exactly $14,032) Bomas Game Studio
Liquor And Wine Shop Simulator - Store Simulator $8.99 23 47% 690 $6.2k (exactly $6,203) Mascot Bro Studio, PixelHixel Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.