Do I ship it?

GamesArcadeArcade + Interactive Fiction

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Interactive Fiction Arcade game?

Arcade + Interactive Fiction

Of 35 developers who shipped an Interactive Fiction Arcade game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 41 more are announced, ×2.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $360, ×0.8 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180; 1 in 20 cleared $68k, ×144 the market median. Revenue is up 150% on the market; 41 games are announced against 20 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.8 times the market baseline, revenue up 150% on the market, 41 announced, ×2.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Arcade + Interactive Fiction
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 35
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.5k → $1.3k → $1.3k → $299 → $299 → $1.2k → $300 (still earning) → $359 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Arcade + Interactive Fiction: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 35
Bottom 30% $180 (exactly $180)
Median $359 (exactly $359)
Top 25% $2.4k (exactly $2,398)
Top 5% $68k (exactly $68,354)
Developers, 2 yr 35
Released games 127
Announced 41
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 150% on the market, supply 35% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Arcade
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Interactive Fiction
effort 1 / 10 · high · prose plus a state machine

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Arcade, Interactive Fiction; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Linear, Story Rich
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 94% positive over 9,875 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $360, 1 in 4 over $2.3k, 1 in 20 over $68k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. All of the 22 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 41 games are announced against 20 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Arcade with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Roguelike DeckbuilderFair59 devs · median $4.3k · 88 announced
  2. + TrainsFair20 devs · median $3.1k · 16 announced
  3. + Visual NovelFair101 devs · median $2.6k · 84 announced
  4. + MiningFair91 devs · median $2.2k · 125 announced
  5. + FaithFair16 devs · median $2.2k · 15 announced
  6. + Turn-BasedFair35 devs · median $2.2k · 32 announced
  7. + EconomyFair199 devs · median $2.1k · 285 announced
  8. + LGBTQ+Fair72 devs · median $2.1k · 61 announced
  9. + DeckbuildingFair170 devs · median $1.9k · 234 announced
  10. + Card BattlerFair68 devs · median $1.9k · 75 announced
  11. + LootFair147 devs · median $1.9k · 215 announced
  12. + VampiresFair34 devs · median $1.9k · 35 announced

All 270 pairs on the Arcade page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Easy Delivery Co. $12.99 9,538 95% 286k $3.7M (exactly $3,716,959) Sam C
Refind Self: The Personality Test Game older $7.99 3,592 87% 108k $861k (exactly $861,002) Lizardry
ITORAH older $19.99 715 72% 21k $429k (exactly $428,785) Grimbart Tales
Horny Warp: Hentai Fantasy older $6.99 654 92% 20k $137k (exactly $137,144) LuminatiGames
Arcade Spirits: The New Challengers older $19.99 164 89% 4.9k $98k (exactly $98,351) Fiction Factory Games
Button City older $19.99 138 94% 4.1k $83k (exactly $82,759) Subliminal
Mystic Academy: Escape Room older $10.99 224 75% 6.7k $74k (exactly $73,853) mc2games
Big Tiddy Goth Baddie🖤⛓️ $14.99 152 76% 4.6k $68k (exactly $68,354) BanzaiProject
Spooky Station older $4.99 345 88% 10k $52k (exactly $51,646) Coletivo Vaca Roxa, Vee, JoyMasher, PKO… (Coletivo Vaca Roxa, Vee, JoyMasher, PKO Game Studio, Spookids Team, Calangames, Expresso Studios, Pastel Studios, Heavy Sheep, LASTONE, Asteristic Game Studio)
The Will of Arthur Flabbington older $11.99 120 95% 3.6k $43k (exactly $43,164) Gugames
XXX Pussy House $6.99 66 71% 2.0k $14k (exactly $13,840) Dreamers Workshop
Rain Debt $4.99 39 87% 1.2k $5.8k (exactly $5,838) TheTalentlessWriter
Haunted ROM: The Lost Cartridge $9.99 14 85% 420 $4.2k (exactly $4,196) Crit42 Studio
PINEAPPLE: A Bittersweet Revenge $4.99 24 83% 720 $3.6k (exactly $3,593) PATRONES & ESCONDITES
Kitty Rush $7.99 12 100% 360 $2.9k (exactly $2,876) DFS
MechaCap Arena $7.99 11 90% 330 $2.6k (exactly $2,637) Paraflux Games
Intelektronica · EA $9.99 8 100% 240 $2.4k (exactly $2,398) RingoGames
Carpe Dino: Seize the Date $4.99 11 100% 330 $1.6k (exactly $1,647) Black Squirrels Studio Inc.

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.