Do I ship it?

GamesArcadeArcade + Dinosaurs

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Dinosaur Arcade game?

Arcade + Dinosaurs

Of 29 developers who shipped a Dinosaur Arcade game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 20 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.2k, ×1.9 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $240. Revenue is up 125% on the market; 20 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.9 times the market baseline, revenue up 125% on the market, 20 announced, ×1.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Arcade + Dinosaurs
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 29
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $269 → $6.3k → $1.5k → $330 → $1.6k → $4.3k → $599 (still earning) → $748 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Arcade + Dinosaurs: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 29
Bottom 30% $240 (exactly $240)
Median $1.2k (exactly $1,199)
Top 25% $9.0k (exactly $8,994)
Top 5% $76k (exactly $75,745)
Developers, 2 yr 29
Released games 104
Announced 20
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 125% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Arcade
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Dinosaurs
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Arcade; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, PvE
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Colorful, 2D, Third Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 90% positive over 881 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $240, median $1.2k, 1 in 4 over $8.9k, 1 in 20 over $75k.

3 in 10 developers made under $240. All of the 15 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 20 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Arcade with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Roguelike DeckbuilderFair59 devs · median $4.3k · 88 announced
  2. + TrainsFair20 devs · median $3.1k · 16 announced
  3. + Visual NovelFair101 devs · median $2.6k · 84 announced
  4. + MiningFair91 devs · median $2.2k · 125 announced
  5. + FaithFair16 devs · median $2.2k · 15 announced
  6. + Turn-BasedFair35 devs · median $2.2k · 32 announced
  7. + EconomyFair199 devs · median $2.1k · 285 announced
  8. + LGBTQ+Fair72 devs · median $2.1k · 61 announced
  9. + DeckbuildingFair170 devs · median $1.9k · 234 announced
  10. + Card BattlerFair68 devs · median $1.9k · 75 announced
  11. + LootFair147 devs · median $1.9k · 215 announced
  12. + VampiresFair34 devs · median $1.9k · 35 announced

All 270 pairs on the Arcade page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Primal Carnage: Extinction older $12.99 8,283 84% 248k $3.2M (exactly $3,227,885) Circle Five Studios, Pub Games
Terror of Hemasaurus older $14.99 766 91% 23k $344k (exactly $344,470) Loren Lemcke
Super Time Force Ultra older $14.99 677 90% 20k $304k (exactly $304,447) Capybara Games
Dino Run DX older $5.99 1,124 95% 34k $202k (exactly $201,983) Pixeljam
Bubble Bobble 4 Friends: The Baron's Workshop older $39.99 138 64% 4.1k $166k (exactly $165,559) TAITO CORP.
Excidio The Kaiju Simulator $12.99 244 92% 7.3k $95k (exactly $95,087) TokuPop
Day D: Tower Rush older $14.99 206 74% 6.2k $93k (exactly $92,638) Creobit
Double Kick Heroes older $19.99 151 82% 4.5k $91k (exactly $90,555) Headbang Club
King of Bones $7.99 316 85% 9.5k $76k (exactly $75,745) Gluten Free Games
Gigapocalypse older $9.99 204 92% 6.1k $61k (exactly $61,139) Goody Gameworks
Bubble Bobble Sugar Dungeons Boosted $39.99 17 58% 510 $20k (exactly $20,395) TAITO CORP.
Outbreak: Shades of Horror Chromatic Split $24.99 24 50% 720 $18k (exactly $17,993) Dead Drop Studios LLC
Cardburners $9.99 58 98% 1.7k $17k (exactly $17,383) GrosChevaux
Dino Quake $7.99 54 100% 1.6k $13k (exactly $12,944) Neutronized
CorgiSpace $4.99 62 96% 1.9k $9.3k (exactly $9,281) Adam Saltsman
Skyfear · EA $14.99 20 95% 600 $9.0k (exactly $8,994) Protoria Studios
Keys of Fury: Typing Action $4.99 42 97% 1.3k $6.3k (exactly $6,287) Elecorn
Dino Tower Arena $3.99 44 100% 1.3k $5.3k (exactly $5,267) OsKkarz_

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.