Do I ship it?

GamesArcadeArcade + Bowling

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Bowling Arcade game?

Arcade + Bowling

Only 11 developers shipped a Bowling Arcade game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Golden Tee Arcade Classics, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 14 more are announced, ×2.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $180 in the last 2 years and $180 over 4, against a market of $480 for a 3 / 10 build. 5 developers shipped in the last year and 14 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 95% on the market, 14 announced, ×2.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Arcade + Bowling
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 11
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $8.4k → $150 → $33k
Outcomes for Arcade + Bowling: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 11
Bottom 30% $30 (exactly $30)
Median $179 (exactly $179)
Top 25% $1.6k (exactly $1,647)
Top 5% $40k (exactly $40,486)
Developers, 2 yr 11
Released games 39
Announced 14
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 95% on the market, supply 15% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Arcade
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Bowling
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Arcade, Bowling
Price point
$5.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 8 games average 92% positive over 157 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $180, 1 in 4 over $1.6k, 1 in 20 over $40k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 14 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Arcade with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Roguelike DeckbuilderFair59 devs · median $4.3k · 88 announced
  2. + TrainsFair20 devs · median $3.1k · 16 announced
  3. + Visual NovelFair101 devs · median $2.6k · 84 announced
  4. + MiningFair91 devs · median $2.2k · 125 announced
  5. + FaithFair16 devs · median $2.2k · 15 announced
  6. + Turn-BasedFair35 devs · median $2.2k · 32 announced
  7. + EconomyFair199 devs · median $2.1k · 285 announced
  8. + LGBTQ+Fair72 devs · median $2.1k · 61 announced
  9. + DeckbuildingFair170 devs · median $1.9k · 234 announced
  10. + Card BattlerFair68 devs · median $1.9k · 75 announced
  11. + LootFair147 devs · median $1.9k · 215 announced
  12. + VampiresFair34 devs · median $1.9k · 35 announced

All 270 pairs on the Arcade page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
FlatOut 2 older $9.99 19,466 95% 584k $5.8M (exactly $5,833,960) Bugbear Entertainment, ZOOM Platform Me… (Bugbear Entertainment, ZOOM Platform Media, Jordan Freeman Group)
All-In-One Sports VR older $19.99 700 84% 21k $420k (exactly $419,790) Appnori Inc.
Salamander County Public Television older $9.99 233 96% 7.0k $70k (exactly $69,830) Tinzone Games
Sparedevil older $11.99 132 97% 4.0k $47k (exactly $47,480) Sludge Pipe Games LTD
Golden Tee Arcade Classics $29.99 45 86% 1.4k $40k (exactly $40,486) Digital Eclipse
Super 10 Pin $11.99 92 98% 2.8k $33k (exactly $33,092) Modus Interactive
ForeVR Bowl VR older $19.99 14 71% 420 $8.4k (exactly $8,396) ForeVR Games Inc
Date Night Bowling older $9.99 16 87% 480 $4.8k (exactly $4,795) Serenity Forge
Desktop Bowling older $7.99 14 71% 420 $3.4k (exactly $3,356) SAT-BOX
Bocce Revolution older $4.99 21 80% 630 $3.1k (exactly $3,144) Dysotek
Skyline Bowling $4.99 11 72% 330 $1.6k (exactly $1,647) VOODOO
Pin Money $6.99 3 100% 90 $629 (exactly $629) thirtysmooth
Bowling Simulator · EA $5.99 2 0% 60 $359 (exactly $359) Hard Shark Games
Pinbowling $2.99 2 100% 60 $179 (exactly $179) Outstanding Duck
Mr. Goofer’s Mini Game Arcade Party! $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Svinta, Keri
Infinite Bowling $0.99 1 100% 30 $30 (exactly $30) Alpex
SPARED! $0.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Andrew Wei, Annie Zhang, Brandon Wang,… (Andrew Wei, Annie Zhang, Brandon Wang, Calex Raffield, Ian Chi, Niklas Thomas, Raymere Mendiola, Sophia Eisenbach, Yume Weissmann)
Jingle Strike VR Bowling $9.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Spooky Pictures Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.