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Should I ship an Alternate-History Tank game?
Tanks + Alternate History
Only 6 developers shipped an Alternate-History Tank game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, KAISERPUNK, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 23 more are announced, ×7.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.
Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $5.4k against a market of $630. 23 games are announced.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $1.3k (exactly $1,349) |
|---|---|
| Median | $5.4k (exactly $5,396) |
| Top 25% | $33k (exactly $33,278) |
| Top 5% | $795k (exactly $795,335) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 6 |
| Released games | 46 |
| Announced | 23 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $14.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 605% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.
Free games: 24%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Tanks
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
- Alternate History
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Tanks
- Price point
- $14.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $14.99.
The top 10 games average 89% positive over 38,707 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $1.4k. 23 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×7.7 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Tanks with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + HistoricalFair
- + Turn-Based StrategyFair
- + Turn-Based TacticsFair
- + Tower DefenseFair
- + Open WorldFair
- + 2D PlatformerFair
- + Online Co-OpPoor odds
- + RPGPoor odds
- + Turn-Based CombatPoor odds
- + Action RTSPoor odds
- + Real Time TacticsPoor odds
- + TacticalPoor odds
Comparable games
Sprocket 2021 · EA · $7.4M 
Gunner, HEAT, PC! 2022 · EA · $6.8M 
Airships: Conquer the Skies 2018 · $4.6M 
Regiments 2022 · $2.5M 
Wargame: Airland Battle 2013 · $2.2M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Sprocket | · EA older | $19.99 | 12,336 92% | 370k | $7.4M (exactly $7,397,899) | Hamish Dunn |
| | Gunner, HEAT, PC! | · EA older | $29.99 | 7,603 91% | 228k | $6.8M (exactly $6,840,419) | Radian Simulations LLC |
| | Airships: Conquer the Skies | older | $24.99 | 6,197 95% | 186k | $4.6M (exactly $4,645,891) | David Stark |
| | Regiments | older | $29.99 | 2,822 87% | 85k | $2.5M (exactly $2,538,953) | Bird's Eye Games |
| | Wargame: Airland Battle | older | $19.99 | 3,592 86% | 108k | $2.2M (exactly $2,154,122) | Eugen Systems |
 | Combat Mission Shock Force 2 | older | $59.99 | 624 80% | 19k | $1.1M (exactly $1,123,013) | Battlefront |
 | Arms Trade Tycoon: Tanks | · EA older | $29.99 | 1,000 65% | 30k | $900k (exactly $899,700) | FunGi |
 | KAISERPUNK | $29.99 | 884 71% | 27k | $795k (exactly $795,335) | Overseer Games | |
 | Wargame: European Escalation | older | $9.99 | 2,605 76% | 78k | $781k (exactly $780,718) | Eugen Systems |
 | Battlezone 98 Redux | older | $19.99 | 1,044 91% | 31k | $626k (exactly $626,087) | Big Boat Interactive |
 | Earth vs Mars | $14.99 | 74 85% | 2.2k | $33k (exactly $33,278) | Relic Entertainment | |
 | Pact of Steel | $14.99 | 12 83% | 360 | $5.4k (exactly $5,396) | Steel Potato Games LLC | |
 | Front Lines | $1.99 | 23 60% | 690 | $1.4k (exactly $1,373) | Waterfoul Studios | |
 | Frontline: Afrika Korps | $14.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $1.3k (exactly $1,349) | Frontline: Games Series | |
 | Tank Battle Salvo | $4.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | CANGYU CONCEPT |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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