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Should I ship an Alternate-History God Game?
God Game + Alternate History
Only 9 developers shipped an Alternate-History God Game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Doodle Empires, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 24 more are announced, ×4.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $9.9k, ×16 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $600; 1 in 20 cleared $260k, ×427 the market median. Revenue is down 90% on the market; 24 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $599 (exactly $599) |
|---|---|
| Median | $9.9k (exactly $9,856) |
| Top 25% | $107k (exactly $107,157) |
| Top 5% | $268k (exactly $268,206) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 9 |
| Released games | 27 |
| Announced | 24 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $5.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 90% on the market, supply 100% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 4%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- God Game
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
- Alternate History
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- God Game
- Price point
- $5.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $7.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.
The top 10 games average 92% positive over 19,126 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $600. 24 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.0 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
God Game with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + HistoricalFair
- + EconomyFair
- + PuzzleFair
- + Inventory ManagementFair
- + DestructionFair
- + DystopianFair
- + IdlerFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + ArcadeLong shot
- + Farming SimLong shot
- + AgricultureLong shot
- + Base BuildingPoor odds
Comparable games
Ages of Conflict: World War Simulator 2023 · EA · $1.9M 
Fantasy Map Simulator 2024 · EA · $1.0M 
Doodle Empires 2025 · EA · $268k 
Ultimate Arena 2016 · $194k 
Tiny Civilization 2023 · $127k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Ages of Conflict: World War Simulator | · EA older | $6.99 | 8,904 96% | 267k | $1.9M (exactly $1,867,169) | JoySpark Games |
| | Fantasy Map Simulator | · EA older | $7.99 | 4,190 89% | 126k | $1.0M (exactly $1,004,343) | The Stranger |
| | Doodle Empires | · EA | $6.99 | 1,279 92% | 38k | $268k (exactly $268,206) | Turtle Stack Games |
| | Ultimate Arena | older | $7.99 | 811 83% | 24k | $194k (exactly $194,397) | Triverske |
| | Tiny Civilization | older | $1.99 | 2,134 92% | 64k | $127k (exactly $127,400) | 喜人一个 |
 | Execute | $5.99 | 679 91% | 20k | $122k (exactly $122,016) | Payne Robinson | |
 | MMO98 | $6.99 | 511 69% | 15k | $107k (exactly $107,157) | BiteMe Games | |
 | Warbox Sandbox | older | $6.99 | 279 78% | 8.4k | $59k (exactly $58,506) | Madar Games |
 | EarthRoyale | older | $7.99 | 170 85% | 5.1k | $41k (exactly $40,749) | Lizzycat / Lizabeth Gidlund |
 | I dont Fall | older | $6.99 | 169 84% | 5.1k | $35k (exactly $35,439) | PUMPKIM |
 | Religion inc. | $4.99 | 128 72% | 3.8k | $19k (exactly $19,162) | GameFirst | |
 | EarthRoyale 3 | · EA | $6.99 | 47 63% | 1.4k | $9.9k (exactly $9,856) | Lizzycat / Lizabeth Gidlund |
 | Provinces | $5.99 | 5 100% | 150 | $898 (exactly $898) | HullHeim | |
 | Polity Painter | $4.99 | 4 100% | 120 | $599 (exactly $599) | Lux Historia | |
 | Enlil: Rise Of the End | · EA | $4.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | HAPPYTECH |
 | Pointer Manual | $2.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | 川月瑰奇 |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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